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Crimea, Washington, and the South and East China Seas: the Link

机译：克里米亚，华盛顿以及中国东南海：链接

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摘要

The appearance of strategic - but not necessarily military - impotence in the West's (ie: the US, EU, and NATO) position on the Ukraine crisis, which Russia forced to a head by accepting Crimea into the Russian Federation [see report, page 11], has raised the prospect of the impact which this process may have on the People's Republic of China's approach to making expansive moves on territories it claims in the South and East China Seas. Considerable gaming is taking place in many analytical organizations as to whether the PRC would make a physical move in 2014 to occupy and declare sovereign island assets in the South China and East China seas. The continued US stress on its "Pacific rebalancing" seems to have had little effect on the PRC's confidence in projecting power in its near-ocean regions.
机译：西方（即美国，欧盟和北约）在乌克兰危机中表现出战略性无能的迹象，但不一定是军事上的无能为力，俄罗斯通过接受克里米亚加入俄罗斯联邦而迫使该国采取行动[见报告，第11页]，这增加了这一过程可能对中华人民共和国在其声称在南海和东海的领土上进行广泛行动的方式产生影响的前景。许多分析组织正在就中国是否会在2014年采取实际行动占领并宣布南中国海和东中国海的主权岛屿资产进行大量博弈。美国继续对其“太平洋再平衡”施加压力，似乎对中国对其在近海地区投射力量的信心影响不大。

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