The Changing Black Sea Balance, and its Broader Impact

Gregory R. Copley

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The Changing Black Sea Balance, and its Broader Impact

机译：不断变化的黑海平衡及其更广泛的影响

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The change in the political balance in the Black Sea region which took place on March 18, 2014, with the re-accession of Crimea into Russia was not profound in terms of any of the normal arbiters of strategic power. Nonetheless, it changed the equation not only in the Black Sea but regionally and globally. The small events, predictable in their inevitability and outcome (and yet so poorly understood by the players in Western Europe and the US who ensured that they would happen), not only dramatically undermined the credibility of US strategic prestige, they transformed a range of other political events. Future historians will ponder whether the pivoting of the global strategic architecture resulting from the over-reaction on the transfer of Crimea from Ukraine back to Russia was worth the price which will be paid, ultimately, by the West.

机译：2014年3月18日，黑海地区的政治平衡发生了变化，克里米亚重新加入俄罗斯，对于任何通常的战略力量仲裁者来说，这都不是什么大问题。尽管如此，它不仅改变了黑海的方程，而且改变了区域和全球。这些小事件的必然性和结果是可以预见的（但西欧和美国的参与者对此知之甚少，因此确保了事件的发生），不仅大大削弱了美国战略声望的可信度，而且还改变了其他一系列事件政治事件。未来的历史学家将思考，由于克里米亚从乌克兰返回俄罗斯的过度反应而导致的全球战略体系的枢纽是否值得西方最终付出代价。

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《Defense & Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy》 |2014年第3期|11-15|共5页
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Gregory R. Copley;
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The Changing Black Sea Balance, and its Broader Impact

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