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Change, or Die? Competing in New Eras

机译：换还是死？在新时代竞争

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摘要

Change occurs inexorably, in everything. Leaders - whether individuals or societies - notice it less than the rest, because they are accustomed to moving forward and driving the pace of change. Leaders act; all others react. Leadership, therefore, sets the strategic agenda; reaction is tactical, short-term, and disadvantaged. The US and much of what had become the "Old" West - Europe and Japan - had begun to slip into reactive mode over the past decade. In the military sphere, there was a reluctance to use new and creative approaches to new and creative challenges; old technologies and, most importantly, old doctrine and old thinking was used inappropriately to address these transformative challenges. Indeed, there was not even a real recognition that the challenges were new, or that the old technologies were inappropriate, neither that there were disruptive strategic trends at work in the world.
机译：变革在所有事物中都不可避免地发生。领导者（无论是个人还是社会）比其他人注意到的要少，因为他们习惯于前进并推动变革的步伐。领导者行事；所有其他的反应。因此，领导才能确定战略议程；反应是战术性的，短期的且不利的。在过去的十年中，美国以及许多已成为“旧”西方国家的国家（欧洲和日本）已开始陷入被动模式。在军事领域，人们不愿使用新颖的方法应对新的挑战；旧技术，最重要的是，旧学说和旧思想被不适当地用于应对这些变革性挑战。确实，甚至没有真正认识到挑战是新挑战，还是旧技术不合适，也没有世界上正在出现破坏性的战略趋势。

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