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2015: The Year of Opportunity and Danger

机译：2015年：机会与危险年

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Uncertainty about the immediate future Seems to permeate most societies around the world. So much so that few look far beyond the immediate. But what is now being put in place with the current global upheaval will form the basis of the strategic framework for the coming decades. Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger was quoted as saying that "if you don't know where you are going, any road will get you there". Updating this in The Art of Victory,I noted: "If you don't know where you're going, any road will lead to disaster." And the hallmark of the world entering 2015 is that there are few governments which actually have defined goals of a comprehensive or "grand strategy" nature. Many governments have short-to medium-term projects and plans, but few, if any, have a contextual view of themselves and have articulated measurable national goals into the mid-term (20 years or so) and longer periods.
机译：关于近期前景的不确定性似乎已经渗透到世界各地的大多数社会。如此之多，以至于几乎没有眼前的景象。但是，当前全球动荡正在采取的措施将构成未来几十年战略框架的基础。引用美国前国务卿亨利基辛格的话说：“如果你不知道往哪里走，任何道路都会带你到那儿”。我在《胜利的艺术》中对此进行了更新，我指出：“如果您不知道要走的路，那么任何道路都会导致灾难。”进入2015年的世界的标志是，实际上很少有政府定义了全面或“大战略”性质的目标。许多政府制定了短期到中期的项目和计划，但很少有（如果有的话）对自身有背景了解，并明确提出了在中期（20年左右）和更长时期内可衡量的国家目标。

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