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Study on the upgrading path of China?￠????s export structure?￠????a perspective of the evolution of factors structure

机译：中国出口结构升级路径研究-要素结构演进的视角

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摘要

The upgrading of export structure has long time been a prominent task of China’s foreign trade. It is in great need for China to choose the right path to develop China’s export structure and make the adequate policies to achieve the sustainable improving on export basket. To solve the problem of what theory to follow, and which path to choose in upgrading the China’s export structure, the paper studied the upgrading path of China’s export structure on a perspective of the evolution of factors structure. It used perpetual inventory procedures to estimate China’s capital stock and used the data of time series from the year 1990 to 2012 to empirically analyze the implication of capital per labor, human capital and R&D input on export structure. Based on the analysis, it drew the conclusion that the factor comparative advantage theory should be followed to promote export structure, and it also put forward specific strategy and suggestions.
机译：出口结构升级长期以来一直是中国对外贸易的重要任务。中国迫切需要选择正确的道路发展中国的出口结构，制定适当的政策，以实现出口篮子的可持续改善。为了解决在升级中国出口结构时应遵循的理论和选择路径的问题，本文从要素结构演变的角度研究了中国出口结构的升级路径。它使用永续盘存程序来估算中国的资本存量，并使用1990年至2012年的时间序列数据来实证分析人均资本，人力资本和研发投入对出口结构的影响。在此基础上得出结论：应遵循要素比较优势理论促进出口结构，并提出了具体的策略和建议。

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