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Modeling Growth of Cronobacter sakazakii IFST082014 in Reconstituted Powdered Infant Milk as Function of Temperature

机译:建模的婴儿配方奶粉中阪崎肠杆菌IFST082014的生长模拟

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Aims: Cronobacter sakazakii has been associated most frequently with illness in neonates. This study aims to model effect of temperature on growth of a C. sakazakii isolate (IFST082014). Methodology: Reconstituted powdered infant milk formulas (RIMFs) inoculated with C. sakazakii were incubated at 10, 20, 30 and 40°C. Results: The primary model showed a good fit (r2 = 0.9714–0.9821) to a Gompertz equation to obtain growth rates and lag times (LTs) at each temperature. The specific growth rate (SGR) of C. sakazakii in the RIMF increased, and the LT decreased with increasing temperature. The secondary model was “ln SGR = -0.05879+(0.00588 x temperature)+(0.00045 x temperature2).” The SGR predicted using this model increased with an increasing temperature. This secondary polynomial model was judged as appropriate based on the mean square error (MSE of the SGR model = 0.00016), the coefficient of determination (r2 of the SGR model = 0.9845), the bias factor (Bf of the SGR model = 1.0125) and the accuracy factor (Af of the SGR model = 1.0007). Conclusion: These results will be useful for industry and regulatory agencies.
机译:目的:阪崎肠杆菌已与新生儿疾病最常发生关联。这项研究旨在模拟温度对阪崎肠杆菌分离株生长的影响(IFST082014)。方法:将接种阪崎肠杆菌的重组粉状婴儿奶粉(RIMF)在10、20、30和40°C下孵育。结果:主要模型显示出与Gompertz方程的良好拟合(r 2 = 0.9714–0.9821),可得到每个温度下的生长速率和滞后时间(LTs)。 RIMF中阪崎肠杆菌的比生长率(SGR)升高,而LT随着温度升高而降低。次要模型是“ ln SGR = -0.05879+(0.00588 x温度)+(0.00045 x温度 2 )”。使用此模型预测的SGR随着温度的升高而增加。根据均方误差(SGR模型的MSE = 0.00016),确定系数(SGR模型的r 2 = 0.9845),偏差因子( SGR模型的B f = 1.0125)和准确性因子(SGR模型的Af = 1.0007)。结论:这些结果将对行业和监管机构有用。

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