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Carrying Capacity and Sustainability Appraisalson Regional Water Supply Systems underClimate Change

机译:气候变化下区域供水系统的承载力与可持续性评价

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This study aims to appraise the carrying capacity and sustainability of four water supply systems which are in the same watershed under climate change. An integrated assessment tool, TaiWAP, which integrates the common procedures of impact assessment of climate change, i.e., downscaling, weather generation, hydrological model, and interface for linking system dynamics model, is used to evaluate the sustainability of regional water resources systems. The GWLF physical model is used to simulate surface water processes and Vensim (a specialized software tool) is used in a system dynamics approach to simulate Taiwan’s Danshuei river watershed supply system to analyze climate impact on sustainable water resource utilization, which are both included in TaiWAP. To understand the sustainability of water supply systems, definition of a sustainable index are necessary to reveal the effects of response strategy and climate change. The results of this study could support making governmental strategies to enhance adaptive capacity, mitigate the impact of climate changes on water supplies and achieve sustainable and resilient water supply systems for the future.
机译:本研究旨在评估气候变化下同一流域中的四个供水系统的承载能力和可持续性。 TaiWAP是一种综合评估工具,用于整合气候变化影响评估的通用程序,即降尺度,天气生成,水文模型以及用于链接系统动力学模型的接口,用于评估区域水资源系统的可持续性。 GWLF物理模型用于模拟地表水过程,Vensim(专用软件工具)在系统动力学方法中用于模拟台湾的淡水河集水区供应系统,以分析气候对可持续水资源利用的影响,这两者都包含在TaiWAP中。为了了解供水系统的可持续性,必须定义可持续性指标以揭示应对策略和气候变化的影响。这项研究的结果可以支持制定政府战略,以增强适应能力,减轻气候变化对供水的影响,并为将来实现可持续和有弹性的供水系统。

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