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Dynamics of a Stochastic SIS Epidemic Model with Saturated Incidence

机译:具有饱和事件的随机SIS流行病模型的动力学

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We introduce stochasticity into the SIS model with saturated incidence. The existence and uniqueness of the positive solution are proved by employing the Lyapunov analysis method. Then, we carry out a detailed analysis on both its almost sure exponential stability and itspth moment exponential stability, which indicates that thepth moment exponential stability implies the almost sure exponential stability. Additionally, the results show that the conditions for the disease to become extinct are much weaker than those in the corresponding deterministic model. The conditions for the persistence in the mean and the existence of a stationary distribution are also established. Finally, we derive the expressions for the mean and variance of the stationary distribution. Compared with the corresponding deterministic model, the threshold value for the disease to die out is affected by the half saturation constant. That is, increasing the saturation effect can reduce the disease transmission. Computer simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.
机译:我们将随机性引入具有饱和发生率的SIS模型。利用Lyapunov分析方法证明了正解的存在性和唯一性。然后,我们对其几乎确定的指数稳定性和其pth矩指数稳定性进行了详细的分析,这表明pth矩的指数稳定性暗示了几乎确定的指数稳定性。此外,结果表明,该疾病灭绝的条件比相应的确定性模型弱得多。还建立了均值的持久性和平稳分布的存在的条件。最后,我们推导了平稳分布的均值和方差的表达式。与相应的确定性模型相比,该疾病死亡的阈值受半饱和常数的影响。即,增加饱和效果可以减少疾病传播。提出了计算机仿真来说明我们的理论结果。

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