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Effects of Tariff Concessions on Japanese Beef Imports by Product and Source

机译:关税减让对日本牛肉进口产品和来源的影响

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Withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) could be costly for U.S. beef exports to Japan given existing trade agreements such as the Japan-Australia Economic Partnership Agreement (JAEPA). We estimate the demand for imported beef in Japan by source and product and assess the impact of tariff reductions on exporting countries. Our results suggest JAEPA will result in considerable increases in Australian beef exports to Japan, largely at the expense of the U.S. beef. However, similar tariff reductions for U.S. beef could eliminate these negative effects and even result in a net increase in beef imports from both countries.
机译:鉴于现有的贸易协定,例如《日澳经济合作协定》(JAEPA),退出跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)对于美国向日本的牛肉出口可能是昂贵的。我们按来源和产品估算日本对进口牛肉的需求,并评估关税降低对出口国的影响。我们的结果表明,JAEPA将导致澳大利亚对日本的牛肉出口大幅增加,而这主要是以美国牛肉为代价的。但是,对美国牛肉实施类似的关税削减可以消除这些负面影响,甚至导致从两国进口的牛肉净增加。

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