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Analysis of Potential of Inbound Tourism for Major Sources of Tourists and Influencing Factors in China

机译:中国入境旅游客源主要潜力及影响因素分析

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Since 2015, the inbound visitors of most sources of tourists such as Japan, Russia and Malaysia in China have been on a growing decrease. While the inbound visitors of some sources of tourists such as the United States, Germany and Thailand have only shown some subtle changes. Therefore, China's inbound tourism is facing an increasingly great downward pressure. On the basis of existing researches, this paper screens indicators in light of the economic development of the source of tourists, the appeal of Chinese culture, the economic and trade exchanges with China and transportation costs in China. In consideration of cultural appeal, this paper establishes a new indicator system to evaluate the potential of inbound tourism of major sources of tourists. It finds out the problems in the process of their development and figures out some solutions in order to improve the competitiveness of China's tourism. At the same time, this paper utilizes the principal component analysis to evaluate the potential of inbound tourism for nineteen sources of tourists with the help of cross-section data in 2015. It also ranks in a comprehensive way the major influencing factors of their potential of inbound tourism with direct oblimin. The ranking in order of importance is the rate of outbound tourism, the per capita national income, the proportion of the 25-64 age group, the number of Confucius Institutes, the number of overseas students in China, as well as investment in China. The evaluation result shows that South Korea, the United States and India are the sources of tourists with the highest potential in China. These countries such as Singapore, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, and France have certain potential to be the sources of tourists. Moreover, Philippines, Indonesia, and Mongolia are at the end of the ranking.
机译:自2015年以来,中国,日本,俄罗斯和马来西亚等大多数游客来源的入境游客一直在减少。虽然某些游客来源(例如美国,德国和泰国)的入境游客仅显示了一些细微的变化。因此,中国的入境旅游面临着越来越大的下行压力。在现有研究的基础上,根据游客来源的经济发展,中国文化的吸引力,与中国的经贸往来和中国的运输成本,对指标进行筛选。考虑到文化吸引力,本文建立了一个新的指标体系来评估主要游客来源的入境旅游潜力。找出其发展过程中存在的问题,并提出解决方案,以提高中国旅游业的竞争力。同时,本文利用主成分分析,借助2015年的横截面数据,评估了19个游客来源国的入境旅游潜力。同时,也以综合的方式对旅游者潜力的主要影响因素进行了排序。直接入境旅游。按重要性排序的排名是出境旅游的比率,人均国民收入,25-64岁年龄段的比例,孔子学院的数量,在中国的海外学生的数量以及在中国的投资。评价结果显示,韩国,美国和印度是中国最具潜力的游客来源。这些国家,例如新加坡,德国,俄罗斯,英国,澳大利亚,加拿大和法国,都有一定的潜力成为游客来源。此外,菲律宾,印度尼西亚和蒙古在排名的末尾。

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