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IMPACT OF CPO EXPORT DUTIES ON MALAYSIAN PALM OIL INDUSTRY | Science Publications

机译:CPO出口义务对马来西亚棕榈油工业的影响|科学出版物

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> In January 2013, Malaysia reduced the export duty structure to be in line with the Indonesia?s duty structure. Both countries export crude and processed palm oil. Since Malaysia and Indonesia are close competitors and they compete in the same market, a change in export duty rate in one country will affect the other. Indonesia, as the world?s biggest palm oil producer, has drastically widened the values between the crude palm oil and refined palm oil export taxes since October 2011, to encourage more downstream investments and production of refined palm oil products. Under the revised export duty structure, crude palm oil and crude palm kernel oil are cheaper for downstream activities in Indonesia. The new structure is expected to reduce Malaysia?s competitiveness in the world market as its export duty is relatively higher. A high export duty results in high price of crude palm oil which is the raw material for processed palm oil. The research questions are: (i) What are the likely future trends of crude palm oil exports under the new crude palm oil export duties? Will it increase, reduce or stabilize? (ii) What are the likely future trends of processed palm oil exports? Will it increase exponentially, stabilize or reduce? To answer these questions, a system dynamics model was developed for the Malaysian palm oil. Application of the system dynamics model provides a framework to understand the feedback structure and how changes in variables impact the behavior of the palm oil industry. This research suggests that with low crude palm oil export duties crude palm oil domestic price, profitability of plantation owners, immature crop, mature crop, total planted area, production and exports of crude palm oil increase, however exports of processed palm oil decrease.
机译: > 2013年1月,马来西亚降低了出口关税结构,以与印度尼西亚的关税结构保持一致。两国都出口原油和加工棕榈油。由于马来西亚和印度尼西亚是紧密的竞争者,它们在同一市场中竞争,因此一个国家出口税率的变化将影响另一个国家。自2011年10月以来,印度尼西亚作为世界上最大的棕榈油生产国,已大幅扩大了原油棕榈油和精炼棕榈油出口税之间的价值,以鼓励更多的下游投资和精炼棕榈油产品的生产。在修订后的出口关税结构下,粗棕榈油和粗棕榈仁油对印度尼西亚的下游活动而言较为便宜。由于出口关税相对较高,新结构有望降低马来西亚在世界市场上的竞争力。较高的出口关税导致作为加工棕榈油原料的棕榈油价格高昂。研究问题是:(i)根据新的粗棕榈油出口关税,粗棕榈油出口的未来可能趋势如何?它会增加,减少还是稳定? (ii)加工棕榈油出口的未来可能的趋势是什么?它会成倍增加,稳定还是减少?为了回答这些问题,为马来西亚棕榈油开发了系统动力学模型。系统动力学模型的应用为理解反馈结构以及变量的变化如何影响棕榈油行业的行为提供了一个框架。这项研究表明,由于粗棕榈油出口关税较低,粗棕榈油国内价格,种植园所有人的利润率,未成熟作物,成熟作物,总种植面积,粗棕榈油的生产和出口增加,而加工棕榈油的出口减少。

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