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Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Seasonal Traffic Accidents

机译:季节性交通事故的时空分析

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This paper presents an approach to analyze spatial and temporal (spatiotemporal) patterns of traffic accidents and to organize them according to their level of significance. This approach was tested using three years (2011-2013) of traffic accident data for Sherbrooke. The spatiotemporal patterns of traffic accidents were analyzed using kernel density estimation (KDE) for four different seasons. Two different crash measures were compared: simple crash counts and severity-weighted crash counts. The results show that severity-weighted crash counts reveal the effect of a single fatal/severe injury or light injury crash on the patterns. However, the lack of a significance test is the main drawback of the KDE. Therefore, this paper integrates the KDE with local Moran's I to identify clusters of statistical significance for traffic accidents within each area. Thus, after the density is calculated by the KDE, it is then applied as the attribute (input value) for calculating local Moran's I. Our findings show that the method was successful to detect traffic accident clusters and hazardous areas in Sherbrooke.
机译:本文提出了一种方法来分析交通事故的时空(时空)模式,并根据其严重程度进行组织。使用Sherbrooke的三年(2011-2013年)交通事故数据对这种方法进行了测试。使用内核密度估计(KDE)分析了四个不同季节的交通事故时空格局。比较了两种不同的崩溃度量:简单崩溃计数和严重性加权崩溃计数。结果表明,严重性加权的崩溃计数揭示了一次致命/重伤或轻伤崩溃对模式的影响。但是,缺少显着性检验是KDE的主要缺点。因此,本文将KDE与本地Moran's I集成在一起,以识别每个区域内交通事故具有统计意义的聚类。因此,在通过KDE计算密度后,将其用作计算局部Moran I的属性(输入值)。我们的发现表明,该方法成功地检测了舍布鲁克的交通事故群和危险区域。

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