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Lactation Curve Modeling For Dhofari Cows Breed

机译:Dhofari牛品种的泌乳曲线建模

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Background and Objective: There is almost no study in the literature about the Dhofari cow breed lactation curve, as it is the main source of dairy products for large population in Sultanate of Oman and the only one of two native cattle breed in Arabia. The objective of this study was to use different mathematical nonlinear model functions to describe and predict the Dhofari cow breed. Materials and Methods: A total data of 1640 test day records of monthly milk production between years 2010 and 2014, from 173 dairy herds located at Salalah Livestock Research Station was analyzed using GLM method (SPSS 2010). Models (Gompertz, Von Bertalanffy, Logistic, Brody, Wood, Wilmink, Cobby and LeDu, Cappio Borlino and Dijkstra) for goodness of fit using adjusted coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), akaikes information criterion (AIC) and bayesian information criterion (BIC). Results: Gompertz model provided the best lactation curve than the other models due to the lower values of RMSE (4.05), AIC (38.50) and BIC (6.83) but the Dijkstra model did not fit the observed data as well as the rest. The peak yield (9.72 kg), peak time (60 days), 305 days milk (1580 kg) and persistency (90.65%) were best estimated by the Gompertz model. Conclusion: Gompertz model provided the best estimation for the lactation curve for the Dhofari cows.
机译:背景与目的:关于Dhofari牛品种的泌乳曲线,文献上几乎没有研究,因为它是阿曼苏丹国大量人口乳制品的主要来源,并且是阿拉伯两个本地牛品种中唯一的一种。这项研究的目的是使用不同的数学非线性模型函数来描述和预测Dhofari牛的品种。资料和方法:采用GLM方法对2010年至2014年间位于Salalah畜牧研究站的173个奶牛群的1640个测试日记录的月牛奶总记录进行了分析(SPSS 2010)。使用调整后的测定系数(R 2 )拟合优度的模型(Gompertz,Von Bertalanffy,Logistic,Brody,Wood,Wilmink,Cobby和LeDu,Cappio Borlino和Dijkstra),均方根误差( RMSE),Akakes信息标准(AIC)和贝叶斯信息标准(BIC)。结果:由于RMSE(4.05),AIC(38.50)和BIC(6.83)的值较低,Gompertz模型提供了最佳的泌乳曲线,但Dijkstra模型与其他模型不符。用Gompertz模型最好地估计了峰值产量(9.72 kg),峰值时间(60天),305天牛奶(1580 kg)和持久性(90.65%)。结论:Gompertz模型为Dhofari母牛的泌乳曲线提供了最佳估计。

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