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Business Cycles with Periodic Shocks in A Multi-Country and Multi-Regional Neoclassical Growth Model

机译:多国家和地区的新古典增长模型中具有周期性冲击的商业周期

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This paper generalizes the global economic growth model with any number of countries and each country with any number of regions recently proposed by Zhang (2016). Zhang?s model extends Uzawa?s two-sector growth model to a global economy for examining dynamic interactions between international trade, national and global growth, interregional migration, wealth accumulation and regional amenities. This study generalizes Zhang?s model by allowing all the time-independent parameters to be time-dependent. The generalization makes it possible to examine effects of any types of exogenous time-dependent shocks on the dynamic system cross regions and countries over time. We simulate the model with three countries and each country with two regions. We demonstrate the existence of equilibrium point and confirm (local) stability of the equilibrium point when all the parameters are time-independent. We conduct comparative dynamic analysis with regard to exogenous periodic shocks in the total factor productivity of regions? capital good sectors, the total factor productivities of the service sectors, the propensity to save, the amenity parameters, and the propensity to consume housing. Our comparative analysis shows how business cycles are generated by periodic exogenous shocks.
机译:本文概括了Zhang(2016)最近提出的具有任何国家和地区的任何国家的全球经济增长模型。 Zhang的模型将Uzawa的两部门增长模型扩展到了全球经济,以研究国际贸易,国家与全球增长,区域间移民,财富积累和区域便利之间的动态互动。这项研究通过允许所有与时间无关的参数都与时间有关,从而对Zhang模型进行了概括。这种概括使得检查随时间变化的跨区域和跨国家动态系统的任何类型的外源时间相关冲击的影响成为可能。我们用三个国家和每个国家有两个区域来模拟模型。当所有参数均与时间无关时,我们证明了平衡点的存在并确认了平衡点的(局部)稳定性。我们对区域全要素生产率中的外源性周期性冲击进行比较动态分析?资本品部门,服务部门的总要素生产率,储蓄倾向,便利性参数以及住房消费倾向。我们的比较分析表明,周期性的外部冲击如何产生商业周期。

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