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Pairs Trading Strategy in Dhaka Stock Exchange: Implementation and Profitability Analysis

机译:达卡证券交易所的货币对交易策略:实施和获利能力分析

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The objective of this study is to develop a financially profitable Pairs trading model for trading in Dhaka Stock Exchange. Pairs Trade is a statistical arbitrage investment strategy. The study used daily stock prices of a sample of 20 stocks listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange. The research first identified a pair of stocks whose prices have a long-run equilibrium using Johansen?s test for cointegration. The cointegrated stock pair is then modeled using a Vector Error Correction Model. The residual obtained from the estimated model serves as the guide to implementing Pairs Trading Strategy. The research finally identified three pairs of stocks which have general long-run equilibriums. Based on the residual series of these pairs, we implemented pairs trading strategy for a period of one to two months using real time data but doing hypothetical trading. It generated significant returns for all trades carried out using both in-sample and out-of-sample data. Given that Bangladesh stock market is frequently subjected to unprecedented volatility, a market-neutral investment strategy like Pairs Trading can be a valuable option to retail and institutional investors. We recommend undertaking policy initiatives required to allow investors to utilize this strategy in Bangladesh.
机译:这项研究的目的是开发一种在达卡证券交易所交易的可盈利的货币对交易模型。 Pairs Trade是一种统计套利投资策略。该研究使用了在达卡证券交易所上市的20只股票样本的每日股票价格。该研究首先使用Johansen的协整检验确定了一对价格具有长期均衡的股票。然后使用向量误差校正模型对协整股票对进行建模。从估算模型中获得的残差可作为实施配对交易策略的指南。研究最终确定了三对具有一般长期均衡的股票。基于这些货币对的剩余序列,我们使用实时数据但进行了假设性交易,实施了为期一到两个月的货币对交易策略。它使用样本内和样本外数据为所有交易产生了可观的回报。鉴于孟加拉国股票市场经常遭受前所未有的波动,因此像Pairs Trading这样的市场中立的投资策略可能是零售和机构投资者的宝贵选择。我们建议采取必要的政策措施,使投资者能够在孟加拉国使用该策略。

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