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Influence of Family Safety Information Availability and Shelter Conditions on the Behavior of Earthquake-Stranded Commuters: A Multi-Agent Simulation Analysis

机译:家庭安全信息的可获得性和庇护条件对受地震困扰的通勤者行为的影响:多Agent仿真分析

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This paper proposes a model that clarifies the influence of family safety information levels and shelter conditions on the behavior of earthquake-stranded commuters. The model is based on a Multi-Agent Simulation (MAS) framework so as to capture interactions among commuters and their influence on personal decisions. Simulation experiments were carried out in order to demonstrate the model. These experiments were based on a hypothetical earthquake in the city of Sapporo, Japan, where earthquakes are common weather phenomena. Model outputs highlight the importance of family information and perceived shelter environment conditions on commuters' decision making regarding staying at safe shelters or facing uncertain return-home journeys. Simulation outputs also identify the importance of sojourn shelters in reducing the likely hazards posed to stranded travelers. Furthermore, the results of an original path choice algorithm, proposed in this study, indicate that en route road choice changes are performed by travelers because of road conditions.
机译:本文提出了一个模型,以阐明家庭安全信息水平和庇护条件对地震滞留通勤者行为的影响。该模型基于多代理仿真(MAS)框架,以捕获通勤者之间的互动及其对个人决策的影响。为了证明该模型,进行了仿真实验。这些实验基于日本札幌市的假设地震,那里的地震是常见的天气现象。模型输出突显了家庭信息和感知的避难所环境条件对于通勤者关于留在安全避难所或面临不确定的返乡旅程的决策的重要性。模拟输出还确定了避难所对于减少滞留旅行者可能造成的危害的重要性。此外,在这项研究中提出的原始路径选择算法的结果表明,由于道路条件,旅客在进行途中道路选择的改变。

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