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首页> 外文期刊>Asian Transport Studies >Time-Series Comparison of Auto/Motorcycle Ownership and Joint Mode and Destination Choice Models Based on Two Large-Scale Surveys in Jakarta
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Time-Series Comparison of Auto/Motorcycle Ownership and Joint Mode and Destination Choice Models Based on Two Large-Scale Surveys in Jakarta

机译：基于两次雅加达大规模调查的汽车/摩托车拥有权以及联合模式和目的地选择模型的时间序列比较

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This paper presents the results of household auto/motorcycle ownership and joint mode and destination choice models that were developed based on two large-scale travel surveys conducted eight years apart. It compares the models and discusses implications of the changes that have occurred in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area in the last decade. Given that the context of the society does not change, both models should remain unchanged with fixed parameters over a period of time. However, the models that were estimated based on the surveys conducted in 2002 and 2010 indicated quite different parameters with different degrees of significance. Such implications may also be important and hence worth studying for other urban areas of the developing world, although similarities of the implications may be restricted to regions that have modal and cultural norms in common.
机译：本文介绍了家庭汽车/摩托车所有权以及联合模式和目的地选择模型的结果，这些模型是基于相隔八年的两次大规模旅行调查而开发的。它比较了这些模型，并讨论了过去十年来雅加达都会区发生的变化所带来的影响。鉴于社会环境不变，两种模型应在一段时间内保持固定参数不变。但是，根据2002年和2010年进行的调查估计的模型显示出完全不同的参数，具有不同的重要程度。这些影响可能也很重要，因此值得在发展中世界的其他城市地区进行研究，尽管这些影响的相似之处可能仅限于具有共同的模式和文化规范的地区。

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