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首页> 外文期刊>Atmospheric chemistry and physics >Reconciliation of essential process parameters for an enhanced predictability of Arctic stratospheric ozone loss and its climate interactions (RECONCILE): activities and results
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Reconciliation of essential process parameters for an enhanced predictability of Arctic stratospheric ozone loss and its climate interactions (RECONCILE): activities and results

机译:协调必要的工艺参数以增强北极平流层臭氧损失及其气候相互作用的可预测性(RECONCILE):活动和结果

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The international research projectRECONCILE has addressed central questions regarding polar ozone depletion,with the objective to quantify some of the most relevant yet still uncertainphysical and chemical processes and thereby improve prognostic modellingcapabilities to realistically predict the response of the ozone layer toclimate change. This overview paper outlines the scope and the generalapproach of RECONCILE, and it provides a summary of observations and modelling in2010 and 2011 that have generated an in many respects unprecedented datasetto study processes in the Arctic winter stratosphere. Principally, itsummarises important outcomes of RECONCILE including (i) better constraintsand enhanced consistency on the set of parameters governing catalytic ozonedestruction cycles, (ii) a better understanding of the role of cold binaryaerosols in heterogeneous chlorine activation,(iii) an improved scheme ofpolar stratospheric cloud (PSC) processes that includes heterogeneousnucleation of nitric acid trihydrate (NAT) and ice on non-volatile backgroundaerosol leading to better model parameterisations with respect todenitrification, and (iv) long transient simulations with a chemistry-climatemodel (CCM) updated based on the results of RECONCILE that better reproducepast ozone trends in Antarctica and are deemed to produce more reliablepredictions of future ozone trends. The process studies and the globalsimulations conducted in RECONCILE show that in the Arctic, ozone depletionuncertainties in the chemical and microphysical processes are now clearlysmaller than the sensitivity to dynamic variability.
机译:国际研究项目RECONCILE已解决了有关极性臭氧消耗的核心问题,目的是量化一些最相关但仍不确定的物理和化学过程,从而提高预测模型的能力,从而切实地预测臭氧层对气候变化的响应。本概述文件概述了RECONCILE的范围和一般方法,并提供了对2010年和2011年观测和建模的总结,这些观测和建模已在许多方面生成了前所未有的数据集来研究北极冬季平流层的过程。原则上,它总结了RECONCILE的重要成果,包括(i)更好的约束条件和控制催化臭氧破坏循环的参数集的一致性,(ii)更好地理解冷二元气溶胶在氯的非均相活化中的作用,(iii)极地平流层的改进方案云(PSC)过程,包括在不挥发的背景气溶胶上硝酸三水合物(NAT)和冰的异相成核,从而导致关于脱氮作用的更好的模型参数设置,以及(iv)基于化学气候模型(CCM)的长期瞬态模拟,基于RECONCILE的结果可以更好地重现南极过去的臭氧趋势,并被认为可以对未来的臭氧趋势做出更可靠的预测。在RECONCILE中进行的过程研究和全球模拟表明,在北极,化学和微物理过程中臭氧消耗的不确定性现在明显小于对动态变化的敏感性。

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