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Increasing Heatwave Hazards in the Southeastern European Union Capitals

机译:东南欧盟国家首都的热浪危险增加

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Heatwaves (HWs) are one of the “natural” hazards with the greatest impact worldwide in terms of mortality and economic losses, and their effects may be exacerbated in large urban areas. For these reasons, more detailed analyses of urban HW trends represent a priority that cannot be neglected. In this study, HW trends were investigated during the warmest period of the year (May–September) by using a slightly improved version of the EuroHEAT HW definition applied on long meteorological time-series (36-year period, 1980–2015) collected by weather stations located in the capitals of the 28 European Union member countries. Comparisons between two 18-year sub-periods (1980–1997 vs. 1998–2015) were carried out and a city-specific HW hazard index (HWHI), accounting for the main HW characteristics, was proposed. Most of the capitals revealed significant positive trends of the majority of HW hazard characteristics and substantial HWHI increases were observed during the sub-period 1998–2015, especially in the central-eastern and southeastern cities. Conversely, minor HWHI increases were observed in most of the northern capitals and opposite situations were even observed in several northern and especially southwestern cities. The results of this study represent a support for planning urban HW-related mitigation and adaptation strategies with the priority given to the southeastern cities.
机译:就死亡和经济损失而言,热波(HW)是全球范围内影响最大的“自然”危害之一,在大城市地区,热波的影响可能会加剧。由于这些原因,对城市硬件趋势的更详细分析是不可忽视的优先事项。在本研究中,通过使用由欧洲气象局收集的长气象时间序列(36年,1980-2015年)中使用的EuroHEAT HW定义的稍有改进的版本,对一年中最暖的时期(5月至9月)的HW趋势进行了调查。位于28个欧盟成员国首都的气象站。进行了两个18年子期间(1980-1997年与1998-2015年)的比较,并提出了一个城市特定的HW危害指数(HWHI),该指数说明了HW的主要特征。大多数首都在大多数HW危害特征方面都表现出明显的积极趋势,并且在1998-2015年这一子期间,尤其是在中东部和东南部城市,观察到HWHI大量增加。相反,在大多数北部首都,观察到的HWHI略有增加,甚至在北部,尤其是西南部城市中也观察到相反的情况。这项研究的结果为规划城市硬件相关的减缓和适应策略提供了支持,其中优先考虑的是东南城市。

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