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The Effects of Indonesian Macroeconomic Indicators and Global Stock Price Index on the Composite Stock Prices Index in Indonesia

机译：印尼宏观经济指标和全球股价指数对印尼综合股价指数的影响

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摘要

This study was to analyze the effect of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, inflation, interest rates, Dow Jones Index, BSE Sensex Index, Nikkei-225 Index, and Shanghai Index on the composite stock prices index in Indonesia. The study used secondary data obtained from www.yahoo.finance.com, Central Bank of Indonesia, and the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics. Data was collected in the quarter period from January 2010 - December 2018 with 36 data numbers per each variable. Multiple linear regression analysis technique was used for the analytical method. The results showed GDP, exchange rates, the Shanghai index had a significant positive effect, the Nikkei-225 index had a significant negative effect to the JCI. Inflation, interest rates, and the BSE Sensex index had insignificant negative effect to the JCI. The variables that were worthy of consideration for investors in purchasing shares on the Indonesia Stock Exchange were GDP, the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, the Dow Jones index, the Nikkei-225 index, and the Shanghai index because it significantly affects the JCI. The suggestion for further research was to include other economic variables such as the money supply, unemployment rate, and stock indices of developing countries.
机译：本研究旨在分析国内生产总值（GDP），印尼盾对美元的汇率，通货膨胀，利率，道琼斯指数，BSE Sensex指数，日经225指数和上海指数对综合股价的影响印度尼西亚的指数。该研究使用了从www.yahoo.finance.com，印度尼西亚中央银行和印度尼西亚中央统计局获得的辅助数据。在2010年1月至2018年12月这一季度中收集了数据，每个变量有36个数据编号。分析方法使用多元线性回归分析技术。结果表明，GDP，汇率，上证指数具有显着的正效应，日经225指数对JCI具有显着的负效应。通货膨胀，利率和BSE Sensex指数对JCI的负面影响微不足道。投资者在印尼证券交易所购买股票时需要考虑的变量是GDP，印尼盾兑美元的汇率，道琼斯指数，日经225指数和上海指数，因为它们显着影响了JCI 。进一步研究的建议是包括其他经济变量，例如发展中国家的货币供应，失业率和股票指数。

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