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Probabilistic Analysis of Different Methods Used to Compute the Failure Pressure of Corroded Steel Pipelines

机译:腐蚀钢管失效压力计算方法的概率分析

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For many years, different methods for computing the failure pressure of buried pipelines that transportcrude oil, natural gas or any hydrocarbon derivative have been regularly implemented; however, thesemethods work with variables affected by uncertainty. Therefore, in this paper, the authors present aMonte Carlo methodology to evaluate the probabilistic behavior of several failure pressure methods inorder to estimate their effect in the probability of failure calculations from the information publishedby the Pipeline Research Council International (PRCI) for the actual failure pressure of corrodedpipelines.
机译:多年以来,已经定期采用不同的方法来计算运输原油,天然气或任何碳氢化合物衍生物的地下管道的破坏压力。但是,这些方法适用于受不确定性影响的变量。因此,在本文中,作者提出了一种蒙特卡洛方法,用于评估几种失效压力方法的概率行为,以便根据国际管道研究理事会(PRCI)发布的有关实际失效压力的信息来估计其对失效概率计算的影响。腐蚀的管道。

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