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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government
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Lung Cancer Mortality Trends in China from 1988 to 2013: New Challenges and Opportunities for the Government

机译：1988年至2013年中国肺癌死亡率趋势：政府面临的新挑战和机遇

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Background : As lung cancer has shown a continuously increasing trend in many countries, it is essential to stay abreast of lung cancer mortality information and take informed actions with a theoretical basis derived from appropriate and practical statistical methods. Methods : Age-specific rates were collected by gender and region (urban/rural) and analysed with descriptive methods and age-period-cohort models to estimate the trends in lung cancer mortality in China from 1988 to 2013. Results : Descriptive analysis revealed that the age-specific mortality rates of lung cancer in rural residents increased markedly over the last three decades, and there was no obvious increase in urban residents. APC analysis showed that the lung cancer mortality rates significantly increased with age (20–84), rose slightly with the time period, and decreased with the cohort, except for the rural cohorts born during the early years (1909–1928). The trends in the patterns of the period and cohort effects showed marked disparities between the urban and rural residents. Conclusions : Lung cancer mortality remains serious and is likely to continue to rise in China. Some known measures are suggested to be decisive factors in mitigating lung cancer, such as environmental conservation, medical security, and tobacco control, which should be implemented more vigorously over the long term in China, especially in rural areas.
机译：背景：由于肺癌在许多国家/地区显示出持续增长的趋势，因此必须了解肺癌死亡率信息并采取从适当和实用的统计方法中得出的理论基础来采取明智的行动。方法：按性别和地区（城市/农村）收集特定年龄的发病率，并使用描述性方法和年龄组模型进行分析，以估算1988年至2013年中国肺癌死亡率的趋势。结果：描述性分析表明：在过去的三十年中，农村居民肺癌的年龄特定死亡率显着增加，而城市居民没有明显增加。 APC分析表明，肺癌死亡率随着年龄的增长（20-84岁）显着增加，随年龄的增长而略有上升，随年龄的增长而降低，但早年（1909-1928年）出生的农村人群除外。这一时期的模式趋势和队列效应表明，城乡居民之间存在明显差距。结论：肺癌死亡率仍然很严重，并且在中国可能会继续上升。建议一些已知的措施是减轻肺癌的决定性因素，例如环境保护，医疗保障和烟草控制，这些措施应在中国尤其是农村地区长期大力实施。

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