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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >Assessment of the Spatial and Temporal Variations of Water Quality for Agricultural Lands with Crop Rotation in China by Using a HYPE Model
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Assessment of the Spatial and Temporal Variations of Water Quality for Agricultural Lands with Crop Rotation in China by Using a HYPE Model

机译:利用HYPE模型评价中国农作物轮作农田水质的时空变化

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Many water quality models have been successfully used worldwide to predict nutrient losses from anthropogenically impacted catchments, but hydrological and nutrient simulations with limited data are difficult considering the transfer of model parameters and complication of model calibration and validation. This study aims: (i) to assess the performance capabilities of a new and relatively more advantageous model, namely, Hydrological Predictions for the Environment (HYPE), that simulates stream flow and nutrient load in agricultural areas by using a multi-site and multi-objective parameter calibration method and (ii) to investigate the temporal and spatial variations of total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorous (TP) concentrations and loads with crop rotation by using the model for the first time. A parameter estimation tool (PEST) was used to calibrate parameters. Results show that the parameters related to the effective soil porosity were highly sensitive to hydrological modeling. N balance was largely controlled by soil denitrification processes. P balance was influenced by the sedimentation rate and production/decay of P in rivers and lakes. The model reproduced the temporal and spatial variations of discharge and TN/TP relatively well in both calibration (2006–2008) and validation (2009–2010) periods. Among the obtained data, the lowest Nash-Suttclife efficiency of discharge, daily TN load, and daily TP load were 0.74, 0.51, and 0.54, respectively. The seasonal variations of daily TN concentrations in the entire simulation period were insufficient, indicated that crop rotation changed the timing and amount of N output. Monthly TN and TP simulation yields revealed that nutrient outputs were abundant in summer in terms of the corresponding discharge. The area-weighted TN and TP load annual yields in five years showed that nutrient loads were extremely high along Hong and Ru rivers, especially in agricultural lands.
机译:许多水质模型已在世界范围内成功用于预测人为影响的集水区的养分流失,但考虑到模型参数的转移以及模型校准和验证的复杂性,利用有限的数据进行水文和养分模拟非常困难。这项研究的目的是:(i)评估一个新的,相对更有利的模型的性能,即环境水文预测(HYPE),该模型通过使用多站点和多站点来模拟农业地区的水流和养分负荷目标参数校准方法,以及(ii)首次使用该模型研究总氮(TN)和总磷(TP)浓度以及作物轮作负荷的时空变化。参数估计工具(PEST)用于校准参数。结果表明,与有效土壤孔隙度有关的参数对水文模型高度敏感。氮平衡主要受土壤反硝化过程控制。磷的平衡受河流和湖泊中磷的沉降速率和磷的产生/衰减的影响。该模型在校准(2006-2008)和验证(2009-2010)期间均较好地再现了排放量和总氮/总磷的时空变化。在获得的数据中,最低的纳什生存力放电,每日TN负荷和每日TP负荷最低,分别为0.74、0.51和0.54。在整个模拟期间,每日总氮浓度的季节变化不足,表明轮作改变了氮素输出的时间和数量。 TN和TP的月度模拟产量表明,就相应的排放量而言,夏季的养分产量丰富。五年中按面积加权的总氮和总磷负荷年产量表明,洪河和汝河特别是农业土地上的养分负荷非常高。

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