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Cause-Consequence Analysis for NASA’s Space Transportation System (STS)-Solid Rocket Booster (SRB)

机译:NASA太空运输系统(STS)-固体火箭助推器(SRB)的因果分析

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The Challenger Space Shuttle disaster was caused by a faulty O-Ring in the field joint of the solid rocket booster.This paper will explore the effectiveness a cause-consequence analysis would have had on the decisions relatedto the faulty O-rings. The ultimate decision to launch the shuttle in a temperature environment with increasedO-ring failure risk was a failure of decision makers to link increased probability of failure with potentialconsequences. This paper will outline how the use of a cause-consequence analysis would have given thedecision makers a better depiction of the information necessary for making a better decision. To expand on thecause-consequence analysis, a case is made for setting a specific probability of failure threshold for automaticlaunch cancelation that would have prevented the launch of the Challenger Space Shuttle at lower temperatures.
机译:挑战者号航天飞机灾难是由固体火箭助推器现场接头上的O形圈故障引起的。本文将探讨因果分析对与故障O形圈相关的决策产生的有效性。在温度升高的O型圈故障风险增加的环境中启动航天飞机的最终决定是决策者无法将故障的可能性增加与潜在后果联系起来。本文将概述因果分析的使用如何使决策者更好地描述做出更好决策所需的信息。为了扩展原因分析,需要为自动发射取消设置特定的失败阈值概率,这将阻止在较低温度下发射挑战者号航天飞机。

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