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Estimation of Wind Power Output Curve using Artificial Neural Network

机译:基于人工神经网络的风电输出曲线估计

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Accurate estimation of wind turbine power curve has an important role in monitoring of conditioning and controlling of wind turbines in wind power plants. Artificial neural network (ANN) was used in this study in the prediction of horizontal axis wind turbine output power (P) in terms of climatic data and turbine rotational speed (Ω). Artificial neural network (ANN) involved the input parameters including the wind speed (V), atmospheric air temperature (T) and the rotational speed (Ω) of wind turbines which they were obtained from an operating power plant. According to the derived results for the testing process, minimum mean absolute percentage of error (MAPE) and maximum correlation coefficient (R) values were determined for an optimum rotational speed (Ω). MAPE and R values were respectively determined as 1.47% and 0.9991 in the case of the ANN study. These results indicated well that ANN approach provided a simple and accurate forecasting in the determination of wind turbine output power (P). Wind turbine power curve of a considered site can be rapidly predicted in a successful way with a little error under the utilization of the ANN method when the parameters of the climatic data including the wind speed (V) and the atmospheric air temperature (T); and as well rotational speed (Ω) of wind turbines in a wind farm are available. Thus, this method is rather convenient during the decision stage of new wind power plant installations.
机译:风力发电机功率曲线的准确估算在监测风力发电厂的风力发电机的状态和控制中起着重要作用。在这项研究中,人工神经网络(ANN)用于根据气候数据和涡轮转速(Ω)预测水平轴风力发电机的输出功率(P)。人工神经网络(ANN)涉及输入参数,包括从运行中的电厂获得的风速(V),大气温度(T)和风力涡轮机的转速(Ω)。根据测试过程的得出结果,确定最佳旋转速度(Ω)的最小平均绝对误差百分比(MAPE)和最大相关系数(R)值。在ANN研究中,MAPE和R值分别确定为1.47%和0.9991。这些结果很好地表明,ANN方法为确定风机输出功率(P)提供了简单而准确的预测。当气候数据的参数包括风速(V)和大气温度(T)时,利用ANN方法可以快速,成功地预测出所考虑地点的风力发电机功率曲线,并且误差很小。以及风力发电场中风力涡轮机的旋转速度(Ω)。因此,在新的风电厂安装的决策阶段,此方法非常方便。

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