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Modeling and Analysis of Seasonal Binomial Time Series

机译:季节性二项式时间序列的建模与分析

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In the present paper, a Seasonal Multiplicative Binomial Dynamic Linear Model was developed and fitted to a series of observations distributed according to binomial, and more generally multinomial, probabilistic law. Two binomial time series were employed to evaluate the predictive performance of the proposed model and its sensitivity to different datasets including a simulated full seasonal time series and actual patterns.
机译:在本文中,开发了季节性可乘二项式动态线性模型,并将其拟合到根据二项式(更普遍地是多项式)概率定律分布的一系列观测值。使用两个二项式时间序列来评估所提出模型的预测性能及其对不同数据集的敏感性,包括模拟的整个季节时间序列和实际模式。

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