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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Statistics and Applications >Estimation of Proximate Variables to Achieve Required Level of Fertility in Bangladesh: Modeling Approach
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Estimation of Proximate Variables to Achieve Required Level of Fertility in Bangladesh: Modeling Approach

机译：孟加拉国达到所需生育水平的近似变量估计：建模方法

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Proximate determinants influence level of fertility in a society. The aim of this study were to estimate the total fertility rate (TFR) for a given level of contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) and estimate the CPR, some indices and factors for achieving the target TFR. For this, data were extracted from Bangladesh contraceptive prevalence survey, Bangladesh fertility survey and Bangladesh demographic and health survey. Linear regression analysis and revised Bongaarts’ models were used to estimate proximate determinants for achieving target TFR. The regression coefficient demonstrated that TFR has been decreasing while CPR increasing during the investigated period with highly negatively associated between TFR and CPR (p<0.01). The results indicate that to achieve replacement level of fertility at 2.1 births per woman it should be increased the CPR, singulate mean age at marriage, duration of breastfeeding and amenorrhea period at 68%, 20.80 years, 37 months and 2.37 months respectively.
机译：决定性因素影响社会中的生育水平。这项研究的目的是估算给定避孕普及率（CPR）的总生育率（TFR），并估算CPR，实现目标TFR的一些指标和因素。为此，从孟加拉国避孕普及率调查，孟加拉国生育率调查以及孟加拉国人口与健康调查中提取数据。线性回归分析和经修订的Bongaarts模型用于估算实现目标TFR的近似决定因素。回归系数表明，在研究期间TFR一直在下降，而CPR却与TFR和CPR之间呈高度负相关（p <0.01）。结果表明，要达到每名妇女2.1胎的生育水平，应提高CPR，将平均结婚年龄，母乳喂养时间和闭经期分别提高68％，20.80岁，37个月和2.37个月。

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