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Prediction of Ac3 and Martensite Start Temperatures by a Data-driven Model Selection Approach

机译:数据驱动模型选择方法预测Ac 3 和马氏体的起始温度

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Four different information criteria, which are widely used for model selection problems, are applied to reveal the explanatory variables for phase transformation temperatures of steels, austenitise temperature (Ac_(3)) and martensite-start temperature (Ms). Using existing datasets for CCT diagram for various steels, the predictive equations for these critical temperatures are derived. A number of empirical equations have been proposed to enable efficient prediction of the the Ac_(3) and Ms temperatures of steels. However, the key parameters in those equations are usually chosen based on researchers’ trials and errors. In this study, the performance of the information criteria is evaluated first using a simulated dataset mimicking the characteristics of those for the Ac_(3) and the Ms temperatures. Then the criteria are applied to the experimental data obtained from two different sources. The key parameters are chosen for the Ac_(3) and Ms temperatures and the derived equations are found to be in better agreement with experimental data than the previous empirical equations. Thus, it was clarified that the methods can be applied to automatically discover the hidden mechanism from complex multi-dimensional datasets of steels’ chemical composition.
机译:广泛使用四个不同的信息准则来选择模型,以揭示钢的相变温度,奥氏体温度(Ac_(3))和马氏体起始温度(Ms)的解释变量。使用现有的各种钢的CCT图数据集,可以得出这些临界温度的预测方程。已经提出了许多经验方程式,以能够有效预测钢的Ac_(3)和Ms温度。但是,这些方程式中的关键参数通常是根据研究人员的试验和误差来选择的。在这项研究中,首先使用模拟Ac_(3)和Ms温度的模拟数据集评估信息标准的性能。然后将标准应用于从两个不同来源获得的实验数据。为Ac_(3)和Ms温度选择了关键参数,并且发现导出的方程与实验数据比以前的经验方程更好地吻合。因此,澄清了该方法可以应用于从复杂的钢化学成分的多维数据集中自动发现隐藏的机理。

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