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CO 2 Fertilization Confounds Tree‐Ring Records of Regional Hydroclimate at Northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau

机译:青藏高原东北部地区CO 2的施肥混淆了区域水气候的年轮记录

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Understanding historical hydroclimate change during the last millennium is of fundamental importance for forecasting and evaluating the regional hydrologic cycle and water security under global warming. Here we compared observations of tree‐ring stable isotope ratios (δ 13 C and δ 18 O), tree‐ring widths, lake sediments estimates of regional hydroclimate, and glacier advance and retreat for northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau, China. The hydroclimate dynamics in our composite isotope record is similar to that derived from the juniper tree‐ring widths throughout the last millennium until the latter half of the twentieth century, after which they diverged with the tree‐ring widths indicating an unprecedented wet period while the isotopic results, sediment proxies, and glaciers demonstrated a drying pattern. Rising atmospheric CO 2 promoted increases in canopy‐scale intrinsic water‐use efficiency and growth, causing tree‐ring widths to overestimate the regional hydroclimate signal in the growth record. Thus, our study suggests that CO 2 fertilization over the last century may confound hydroclimate reconstructions inferred from juniper tree‐ring width at northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau, which may cause overestimates of water resources. Correction for CO 2 ‐induced changes in tree‐ring widths may be necessary to accurately utilize tree rings for paleoclimate reconstructions. Plain Language Summary During the past 50?years, the northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau region experienced alpine glacial retreat, increased desertification, and a reduction of river and lake levels. Understanding the region's background hydroclimate variation is critically important to assess current and future water‐management policies in this water‐limited region. Hydroclimate reconstructions exceeding a millennium from tree‐ring width revealed that the late twentieth century experienced an unprecedented wet climate, while lake sediments demonstrated a drying pattern. Here we reconstructed a new hydroclimate chronology over the last millennium using independent tree‐ring stable isotope series. We found a drying trend in the late twentieth century from the new hydroclimate chronology, which is different from the tree‐ring width reconstruction, but compared well with lake‐sediment results. Except for the late twentieth century, our new hydroclimate chronology compared well with tree‐ring width reconstruction throughout the last millennium. We found hydroclimate overestimation from tree‐ring width was caused by the CO 2 fertilization during the late twentieth century. Rising atmospheric CO 2 improves tree photosynthesis, increases canopy‐scale water‐use efficiency, and accelerates tree radial growth. Therefore, the hydroclimate in the northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau is drying in the late twentieth century, and paleo‐moisture inferred only from tree‐ring width may be overestimated due to atmospheric CO 2 fertilization.
机译:了解上个千年的历史水文气候变化对于预测和评估全球变暖下的区域水文循环和水安全至关重要。在这里,我们比较了中国东北青藏高原的树轮稳定同位素比(δ13 C和δ18 O),树轮宽度,湖泊沉积物对区域水气候的估计以及冰川进退的观测结果。我们的复合同位素记录中的水文气候动力学类似于从整个上一个千年直到二十世纪后半叶的杜松树轮宽度,然后随着树轮宽度发散,这表明前所未有的湿润时期。同位素结果,沉积物代理和冰川显示出一种干燥模式。大气中CO 2的增加促进了冠层尺度内在水分利用效率和生长的增加,导致树轮宽度高估了生长记录中的区域水气候信号。因此,我们的研究表明,上个世纪的CO 2施肥可能会混淆青藏高原东北部杜松树轮宽度所推断的水文气候重建,这可能会导致水资源高估。要精确地利用树轮进行古气候重建,可能需要校正CO 2引起的树轮宽度变化。普通语言摘要在过去的50年中,东北青藏高原地区经历了高山冰川退缩,沙漠化加剧以及河流和湖泊水位下降的情况。了解该地区的背景气候变化对评估该水资源有限地区当前和未来的水资源管理政策至关重要。从树木年轮宽度开始超过一千年的水文气候重建表明,二十世纪后期经历了前所未有的潮湿气候,而湖泊沉积物表现出干燥模式。在这里,我们使用独立的树环稳定同位素序列重建了上一个千年的新的水文气候年表。我们从新的水文气候年表中发现了二十世纪后期的干旱趋势,这与树木年轮宽度的重建不同,但是与湖泊沉积物的结果相比较却很好。除了二十世纪末期,我们的新的水文气候年表与整个上千年的树轮宽度重建相比具有很好的可比性。我们发现,树轮宽度对水文气候的高估是由20世纪后期的CO 2施肥引起的。大气中CO 2含量的提高改善了树木的光合作用,提高了冠层尺度的用水效率,并加速了树木的径向生长。因此,青藏高原东北部的水文气候在20世纪末期处于干燥状态,由于大气中的CO 2施肥,仅由树的轮缘推断出的古水分可能被高估了。

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