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Long-term seismogenesis and self-organized criticality

机译:长期地震发生和自组织临界

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The principles of self-organized criticality (SOC) provide a framework for understanding the process by which individual earthquakes are generated. The SOC principles of fractality, scaling, hierarchy, and extreme sensitivity to initial conditions, are exhibited by the precursory scale increase ( Y ) phenomenon, which we interpret as evidence of a long-term generation process. We have accordingly included SOC in a three-stage faulting model of seismogenesis. Fractality is represented by the Gutenberg-Richter relation, which is relied on for analysing the precursory scale increase ( Y ) phenomenon. Scaling characterizes the parameters of space, time and magnitude that relate the precursory seismicity to the mainshock and aftershocks. The validity of these relations is supported by application of the EEPAS model. Scaling also underlies the Mogi criteria, which are invoked to explain a selfgenerated transient effect, and hence the long duration of the seismogenic process. Hierarchy clarifies the otherwise complex situations that arise when two or more earthquakes are in process of generation at overlapping places and times. Extreme sensitivity to initial conditions explains why, with rare exceptions, both the seismogenic process and the culminating earthquake are initiated with no recognizable immediate trigger. The only exception so far observed for the seismogenic process is the proposed triggering, on 1992.06.28, of the long-term Hector Mine (California) process by the nearby Landers mainshock.
机译:自组织关键性(SOC)原理为理解单个地震的产生过程提供了一个框架。分形,尺度,等级和对初始条件的极端敏感性的SOC原理通过前兆尺度增加(Y)现象展现出来,我们将其解释为长期生成过程的证据。因此,我们将SOC包括在地震发生的三阶段断层模型中。分形性由古腾堡-里希特关系表示,该关系可用来分析前兆规模增加(Y)现象。标度表征了将前震与主震和余震联系起来的空间,时间和震级参数。 EEPAS模型的应用支持了这些关系的有效性。缩放也是Mogi准则的基础,该准则被用来解释自生的瞬态效应,以及由此引起的长地震发过程。层次结构阐明了在重叠的位置和时间发生两次或多次地震时所产生的复杂情况。对初始条件极为敏感,这解释了为什么除了极少数例外情况,在没有可识别的立即触发的情况下就引发了地震过程和最终的地震。迄今为止观察到的唯一的地震成因例外是,在1992.06.28提出了由附近的Landers主冲击触发Hector Mine(加利福尼亚)长期开采过程的提议。

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