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Evaluation of technology foresight projects

机译：技术预见项目评估

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Abstract Foresight is a well-known and widely used methodology for the creation of medium and long-term visions of technological, economic and social development. The need for evaluating foresight projects is unquestionable, but it is still a scarce phenomenon. The interests of the authors of the paper are focused mainly on foresight impact as one of the principal aspects of foresight evaluation, although they are aware of numerous objectives and aspects of foresight evaluation. The authors show the outcomes of case study analyses of selected evaluations conducted with regard to national and transnational foresight projects. Furthermore, current attempts to create systemic foresight evaluation frameworks are presented. They comprise general evaluation frameworks meant for the evaluation of different aspects of foresight projects execution, with respect to the process and results, including foresight impact as one of evaluated aspects as well as frameworks devoted strictly to the foresight impact evaluation. Scientific work on foresight evaluation models is still in progress and the authors of the paper indicate the current stage of models’ development.
机译：摘要前瞻是建立技术，经济和社会发展的中长期愿景的一种广为人知的方法。毫无疑问，需要评估前瞻性项目，但这仍然是一种稀缺现象。本文作者的兴趣主要集中在作为预见评估主要方面之一的预见影响上，尽管他们知道预见评估的许多目标和方面。作者展示了针对国家和跨国预见项目进行的部分评估案例研究分析的结果。此外，介绍了创建系统的预见性评估框架的当前尝试。它们包括旨在对远景项目执行的不同方面进行评估的一般评估框架，涉及过程和结果，包括作为评估方面之一的远景影响以及严格致力于前瞻性影响评估的框架。前瞻评估模型的科学工作仍在进行中，本文的作者指出了模型开发的当前阶段。

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