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首页> 外文期刊>European Journal of Futures Research >Shifts, turning points and inertia exploring long-term industry trends in European transport
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Shifts, turning points and inertia exploring long-term industry trends in European transport

机译：转变，转折点和惯性探索欧洲运输业的长期行业趋势

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Abstract In this introduction to the topical collection on the “Future of Transport in Europe”, we argue that European transport regimes are at a turning point and despite the sector inertia, we can detect cultural, societal, and technical shifts. In this article, we assume that these shifts are central in defining possible future trends, far beyond their current fragile relevance. Such an analysis steps further into the technological realm, and targets social, industrial and political issues, which could affect the future of transport up until 2050, with a special focus on the post-ownership economy. Thus, we frame both technological innovations and societal shifts, aiming to discuss the future of transport as a socio-technical construction, far beyond the commercial and economic debate. In the conclusion, we report briefly on how two conflicting elements are now relevant for the future of transport, namely inertia and innovation: both can play a significant role in opening up different transport regimes in the future, or tying us to a repletion of old patterns. This article is based on the results of an EU-funded research network ( www.race2050.org ), which we coordinated.
机译：摘要在关于“欧洲交通运输的未来”的专题收藏的引言中，我们认为欧洲的交通运输体制正处于转折点，尽管存在部门惯性，但我们可以发现文化，社会和技术的变化。在本文中，我们假设这些变化是定义可能的未来趋势的中心，远远超出了当前的脆弱性。此类分析进一步涉足技术领域，针对社会，工业和政治问题，这些问题可能会影响到2050年之前的交通运输，特别是所有权后经济。因此，我们将技术创新和社会变革结合在一起，旨在讨论将运输作为社会技术建设的未来，这远远超出了商业和经济辩论的范围。在总结中，我们简要报告了两个相互矛盾的因素现在与运输的未来如何相关，即惯性和创新：两者在未来开放不同的运输制度或将我们束缚于旧时代的过程中都可以发挥重要作用。模式。本文基于欧盟协调的研究网络（www.race2050.org）的结果。

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