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首页> 外文期刊>European Journal of Futures Research >Exploration of external indicators of social change in postmodern communities
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Exploration of external indicators of social change in postmodern communities

机译：探索后现代社区的社会变革外部指标

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Abstract The current study explores external indicators of social change through the lens of Sorokin’s theory of cultural dynamics; utilising case studies of two master built communities from vastly different cultural and geographic backgrounds (Sippy Downs, Australia, and Masdar City, United Arab Emirates). These two communities are contrasted to gain insight into the dynamics of social change in the 21st century. The study confirmed Sorokin’s assumption that our Western society is in the late sensate phase of sociocultural development. Additionally, this late sensate phase was found to have common characteristics with the postmodern paradigm. Further, results of the residents’ survey confirmed Sippy Downs as an integrated logico-meaningful culture in a postmodern environment. This finding justified the inclusion of this particular population in the current study as a model of a typical postmodern community. Additionally, weak signals indicating the emergence of the next idealistic phase of sociocultural change were detected in both communities, although there was a variance in the nature of these signals. The study also revealed that sustainability thinking appeared to be the bridge to the next idealistic phase of sociocultural development. However, Causal Layered Analysis revealed a lopsided approach to sustainability: an overemphasis of green technology over the need for social innovation. The socio-semiotics analysis of urban design and architecture in the context of the two case studies elicited a plausible pattern of sociocultural change. The combination of qualitative and quantitative methods using the Explorative Mixed Methods Research Design enhanced the analysis and increased the robustness of the results.
机译：摘要当前的研究是通过索罗金的文化动力学理论探索社会变革的外部指标。利用来自两个迥然不同的文化和地理背景（澳大利亚的Sippy Downs和阿拉伯联合酋长国的Masdar City）的两个大师级社区的案例研究。通过对比这两个社区，可以深入了解21世纪的社会变化动态。这项研究证实了索罗金的假设，即我们的西方社会处于社会文化发展的后期阶段。此外，发现后期感觉阶段与后现代范式具有共同特征。此外，居民调查的结果证实了Sippy Downs在后现代环境中是一种具有逻辑意义的综合文化。这一发现证明在当前的研究中将这一特殊人群作为典型的后现代社区的模型是合理的。此外，尽管这两个信号的性质存在差异，但在两个社区中都发现了表明下一文化社会理想化阶段出现的微弱信号。研究还表明，可持续性思维似乎是通往下一阶段社会文化发展理想主义的桥梁。但是，因果分层分析揭示了一种偏向于可持续性的方法：绿色技术过于强调社会创新的需要。在这两个案例研究的背景下，对城市设计和建筑的社会符号学分析得出了一种合理的社会文化变化模式。使用探索性混合方法研究设计将定性和定量方法相结合，可以增强分析效果，并增强结果的可靠性。

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