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Green Economy Modelling of Ecosystem Services along the “Road to Dawei”

机译：“通往大维之路”生态系统服务的绿色经济建模

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This review of the study “Road to Dawei”, conducted by WWF Greater Mekong, seeks to assess economic, social and environmental impacts of road construction between Kanchanaburi, Thailand and Dawei, Myanmar. It also aims to identify relevant Green Economy policy interventions that would enhance the sustainable use and conservation of natural capital, which is considered to be a foundation for sustainable and inclusive economic development. In particular, the study concentrates on the identification of feedback loops, delays and nonlinearity in order to properly map the socio-economic and environmental system analysed and inform decision making. Results are presented for three different scenarios both for Myanmar and for Thailand. Simulation results show that a conventional approach to road construction is likely to have positive economic impacts in the region, especially in the short term, but also negative consequences for the integrity of the ecosystem, which in turn might also negatively impact on the investment itself and its economic outcomes in the medium and longer term. Further, results indicate that green economy interventions would mitigate environmental risks by creating synergies across sectors, systemically.
机译：由世界自然基金会大湄公河进行的“通往大维之路”研究的这篇综述旨在评估泰国北碧府和缅甸大维之间道路建设的经济，社会和环境影响。它还旨在确定相关的绿色经济政策干预措施，以加强自然资本的可持续利用和保护，这被认为是可持续和包容性经济发展的基础。特别是，该研究集中在识别反馈回路，延迟和非线性，以便正确地绘制所分析的社会经济和环境系统并为决策提供依据。呈现了针对缅甸和泰国的三种不同情况的结果。模拟结果表明，传统的道路建设方法可能对该地区产生积极的经济影响，特别是在短期内，但对生态系统的完整性也可能产生负面影响，进而可能对投资本身和投资产生负面影响。中期和长期的经济成果。此外，结果表明，绿色经济干预将通过系统性地跨部门创造协同效应来减轻环境风险。

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