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首页> 外文期刊>Geografski Vestnik - Geographical Bulletin >Vpliv podnebnih sprememb na koli?ine vode in poplave morja v slovenski Istri // Climate change impacts on water quantities and sea flooding in Slovene Istria
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Vpliv podnebnih sprememb na koli?ine vode in poplave morja v slovenski Istri // Climate change impacts on water quantities and sea flooding in Slovene Istria

机译:斯洛文尼亚伊斯特拉半岛气候变化对水量和海洋洪水的影响//斯洛文尼亚伊斯特拉半岛气候变化对水量和海洋洪水的影响

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摘要

V prispevku so obravnavane preto?ne razmere rek v slovenski Istri in dvigovanje gladine morja. Z uporabo Senovega naklona smo v slovenski Istri potrdili statisti?no zna?ilna trenda pove?evanja skupne letne vi?ine izhlapevanja 49 mm/desetletje in nara??anja povpre?ne letne temperature zraka 0,53 ~(o)C/desetletje. Statisti?no zna?ilnega zmanj?evanja skupne letne vi?ine padavin nismo potrdili. Omenjeni dejavniki podnebnih sprememb, skupaj z drugimi spremembami v okolju, vplivajo na zmanj?evanje srednjih letnih pretokov rek v slovenski Istri 40–80 l/s na desetletje, a trendi niso statisti?no zna?ilni. Padajo?i trend za reko Ri?ano je z vidika oskrbe obalnih ob?in s pitno vodo zelo zaskrbljujo?. Trend zvi?evanja srednje gladine morja (4,5 mm/desetletje) ni statisti?no zna?ilen. Analiza je pokazala, da bi bilo ob dvigu gladine morja za 1 m poplavljenih 848 zgradb in ogro?enih pribli?no 3800 prebivalcev (najve? v Kopru).The article deals with discharge characteristics of rivers in Slovene Istria and with the rising of the sea level. Using the non-parametric Sen’s slope test statistically significant trends of increasing annual potential evapotranspiration (49 mm per decade) and increasing mean annual air temperature (0.53°C per decade) were determined. Statistically significant decreasing of annual precipitation was not determined. These climate change factors, together with some other environmental changes, are reflected in decreasing of mean annual discharges of the rivers in Slovene Istria with the intensity of 40-80 l/s per decade, but the trends are not statistically significant. Decreasing trend of the Ri?ana river is problematic in terms of water supply in the region. Increasing trend of maximum sea level (4.5 mm per decade) is not statistically significant. Analysis showed that a total of 848 buildings would be flooded, and a total of around 3,800 people would be at risk (the majority of whom are living in Koper) if the sea level would increase by 1 m.
机译:本文讨论了斯洛文尼亚伊斯特拉河流域的水流状况和海平面上升。使用Sen的斜率,我们在斯洛文尼亚Istria确认了统计学上显着的趋势,即每年增加49毫米/十年的总蒸发高度,并且使年平均气温升高0.53〜(o)C /十年。 。我们没有确认年度总降水量有统计上的显着下降。这些气候变化因素以及其他环境变化使斯洛文尼亚Istria的年平均河流流量每十年减少40-80 l / s,但趋势在统计上并不显着。在向沿海城市供水方面,里扎纳河的下降趋势令人担忧。平均海平面上升(4.5毫米/十年)的趋势在统计上并不显着。分析表明,如果海平面上升1 m,则848座建筑物将被洪水淹没,大约3800居民将受到威胁(主要在科佩尔)。该文章涉及斯洛文尼亚伊斯特拉河的河流排放特征以及水位上升。海平面。使用非参数Sen斜率测试,可以统计出潜在的蒸散量增加(每十年49毫米)和年平均气温增加(每十年0.53°C)的显着趋势。未确定年降水量的统计显着下降。这些气候变化因素以及其他一些环境变化反映在斯洛文尼亚伊斯特拉河流域的河流年平均排放量减少,强度为每十年40-80 l / s,但趋势在统计上并不显着。就该地区的供水而言,Ri?Ana河的下降趋势存在问题。最大海平面(每十年4.5毫米)的增加趋势在统计上并不显着。分析表明,如果海平面上升1 m,将淹没总共848座建筑物,并且将有大约3,800人处于危险之中(其中大多数人住在科珀尔)。

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