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首页> 外文期刊>Energies >A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
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A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions

机译:现实世界中电动汽车能耗预测和节能路线的数据驱动方法

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Limited driving range remains one of the barriers for widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). To address the problem of range anxiety, this paper presents an energy consumption prediction method for EVs, designed for energy-efficient routing. This data-driven methodology combines real-world measured driving data with geographical and weather data to predict the consumption over any given road in a road network. The driving data are linked to the road network using geographic information system software that allows to separate trips into segments with similar road characteristics. The energy consumption over road segments is estimated using a multiple linear regression (MLR) model that links the energy consumption with microscopic driving parameters (such as speed and acceleration) and external parameters (such as temperature). A neural network (NN) is used to predict the unknown microscopic driving parameters over a segment prior to departure, given the road segment characteristics and weather conditions. The complete proposed model predicts the energy consumption with a mean absolute error ( MAE ) of 12–14% of the average trip consumption, of which 7–9% is caused by the energy consumption estimation of the MLR model. This method allows for prediction of energy consumption over any route in the road network prior to departure, and enables cost-optimization algorithms to calculate energy efficient routes. The data-driven approach has the advantage that the model can easily be updated over time with changing conditions.
机译:有限的行驶里程仍然是电动汽车(EV)广泛采用的障碍之一。为了解决距离焦虑的问题,本文提出了一种针对电动汽车的能量消耗预测方法,该方法旨在实现节能路线。这种以数据为驱动的方法将现实世界中测得的驾驶数据与地理和天气数据相结合,以预测道路网络中任何给定道路的消耗量。使用地理信息系统软件将行驶数据链接到道路网络,该软件可将行程分为具有相似道路特征的路段。使用多元线性回归(MLR)模型估算道路段的能耗,该模型将能耗与微观驾驶参数(例如速度和加速度)和外部参数(例如温度)联系起来。在给出路段特征和天气条件的情况下,神经网络(NN)可用于在出发前的一段路段上预测未知的微观驾驶参数。完整的建议模型可预测能耗,平均绝对误差(MAE)为平均行程消耗的12–14%,其中7–9%是由MLR模型的能耗估算引起的。该方法允许在出发前预测道路网络中任何路线的能源消耗,并使成本优化算法能够计算出节能路线。数据驱动的方法的优势在于,随着条件的变化,可以随时间轻松更新模型。

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