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For whom will the Bayesian agents vote?

机译:贝叶斯代理商将为谁投票?

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Within an agent-based model where moral classifications are socially learned, we ask if a population of agents behaves in a way that may be compared with conservative or liberal positions in the real political spectrum. We assume that agents first experience a formative period, in which they adjust their learning style acting as supervised Bayesian adaptive learners. The formative phase is followed by a period of social influence by reinforcement learning. By comparing data generated by the agents with data from a sample of 15000 Moral Foundation questionnaires we found the following. 1. The number of information exchanges in the formative phase correlates positively with statistics identifying liberals in the social influence phase. This is consistent with recent evidence that connects the dopamine receptor D4-7R gene, political orientation and early age social clique size. 2. The learning algorithms that result from the formative phase vary in the way they treat novelty and corroborative information with more conservative-like agents treating it more equally than liberal-like agents. This is consistent with the correlation between political affiliation and the Openness personality trait reported in the literature. 3. Under the increase of a model parameter interpreted as an external pressure, the statistics of liberal agents resemble more those of conservative agents, consistent with reports on the consequences of external threats on measures of conservatism. We also show that in the social influence phase liberal-like agents readapt much faster than conservative-like agents when subjected to changes on the relevant set of moral issues. This suggests a verifiable dynamical criterium for attaching liberal or conservative labels to groups.
机译:在基于代理人的模型中,可以从社会上学习道德分类,我们询问代理人群体的行为方式是否可以与真实政治范围内的保守派或自由派职位进行比较。我们假设代理首先经历了一个成长期,在此期间他们作为监督贝叶斯自适应学习者来调整他们的学习风格。形成阶段之后是一段通过强化学习获得社会影响的时期。通过将代理商产生的数据与15000个道德基金会调查问卷的数据进行比较,我们发现了以下内容。 1.形成阶段的信息交流数量与识别社会影响阶段的自由主义者的统计数据呈正相关。这与连接多巴胺受体D4-7R基因,政治倾向和早期社会集团规模的最新证据相一致。 2.形成阶段产生的学习算法在对待新颖性和确凿信息的方式上有所不同,与保守派代理相比,保守派代理更平等地对待新颖性和佐证信息。这与文献报道的政治派别和开放性人格特征之间的相关性是一致的。 3.在解释为外部压力的模型参数增加的情况下,自由主义行为者的统计更类似于保守主义行为者的统计,这与关于外部威胁对保守主义措施的后果的报道相一致。我们还表明,在社会影响阶段,当受到有关道德问题的变化时,类似自由派的代理人比类似保守派的代理人重新适应的速度要快得多。这表明将自由派或保守派标签附加到群体的可验证的动态标准。

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