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Climate change adaptation frameworks: an evaluation of plans for coastal Suffolk, UK

机译:气候变化适应框架:对英国萨福克海岸计划的评估

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This paper asserts that three principal frameworks for climate changeadaptation can be recognised in the literature: scenario-led (SL),vulnerability-led (VL) and decision-centric (DC) frameworks. A criterion isdeveloped to differentiate these frameworks in recent adaptation projects.The criterion features six key hallmarks as follows: (1) use of climate modelinformation; (2) analysis of metrics/units; (3) socio-economic knowledge;(4) stakeholder engagement; (5) adaptation of implementation mechanisms; (6) tier ofadaptation implementation. The paper then tests the validity of thisapproach using adaptation projects on the Suffolk coast, UK. Fourteenadaptation plans were identified in an online survey. They were analysed inrelation to the hallmarks outlined above and assigned to an adaptation framework.The results show that while some adaptation plans are primarily SL, VL orDC, the majority are hybrid, showing a mixture of DC/VL and DC/SLcharacteristics. Interestingly, the SL/VL combination is not observed,perhaps because the DC framework is intermediate and attempts to overcomeweaknesses of both SL and VL approaches. The majority (57 %) of adaptationprojects generated a risk assessment or advice notes. Further development ofthis type of framework analysis would allow better guidance on approachesfor organisations when implementing climate change adaptation initiatives,and other similar proactive long-term planning.
机译:本文认为,可以在文献中认识到三个主要的适应气候变化的框架:情景主导(SL),脆弱性主导(VL)和决策中心(DC)框架。在最近的适应项目中,制定了区分这些框架的标准。该标准具有以下六个主要标志:(1)使用气候模式信息; (2)指标/单位分析; (3)社会经济知识;(4)利益相关者参与; (5)调整执行机制; (6)适应层实现。然后,本文使用英国萨福克海岸的适应项目测试了该方法的有效性。在线调查中确定了十四个适应计划。分析了它们与上述特征的相关性,并将其分配给一个适应框架。 结果表明,尽管一些适应计划主要是SL,VL或DC,但大多数是混合的,显示了DC / VL和DC / SL特性。有趣的是,未观察到SL / VL组合,可能是因为DC框架处于中间状态并试图克服SL和VL两种方法的弱点。大部分适应项目(57%)产生了风险评估或建议说明。这类框架分析的进一步发展将为组织在实施气候变化适应计划和其他类似的积极长期计划时的方法提供更好的指导。

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