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Simple statistics for complex Earthquake time distributions

机译:复杂地震时间分布的简单统计

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Here we investigated a statistical feature of earthquake time distributions in the southern California earthquake catalog. As a main data analysis tool, we used a simple statistical approach based on the calculation of integral deviation times (IDT) from the time distribution of regular markers. The research objective is to define whether and when the process of earthquake time distribution approaches to randomness. Effectiveness of the IDT calculation method was tested on the set of simulated color noise data sets with the different extent of regularity, as well as for Poisson process data sets. Standard methods of complex data analysis have also been used, such as power spectrum regression, Lempel and Ziv complexity, and recurrence quantification analysis, as well as multiscale entropy calculations. After testing the IDT calculation method for simulated model data sets, we have analyzed the variation in the extent of regularity in the southern California earthquake catalog. Analysis was carried out for different periods and at different magnitude thresholds. It was found that the extent of the order in earthquake time distributions is fluctuating over the catalog. Particularly, we show that in most cases, the process of earthquake time distributions is less random in periods of strong earthquake occurrence compared to periods with relatively decreased local seismic activity. Also, we noticed that the strongest earthquakes occur in periods when IDT values increase.
机译:在这里,我们调查了加利福尼亚南部地震目录中地震时间分布的统计特征。作为主要的数据分析工具,我们使用了一种简单的统计方法,该方法基于根据常规标记的时间分布计算出的积分偏差时间(IDT)。研究目的是确定地震时间分布的过程是否以及何时接近随机性。在具有不同规则性的一组模拟色噪声数据集以及Poisson过程数据集上测试了IDT计算方法的有效性。还使用了复杂数据分析的标准方法,例如功率谱回归,Lempel和Ziv复杂度,递归量化分析以及多尺度熵计算。在针对模拟模型数据集测试了IDT计算方法之后,我们分析了南加州地震目录中规律性程度的变化。对不同的时期和不同的幅度阈值进行了分析。结果发现,地震时间分布中的阶次范围在整个目录中波动。特别是,我们表明,与局部地震活动相对减少的时期相比,在大多数情况下,强烈地震发生期间的地震时间分布过程的随机性较小。此外,我们注意到最强烈的地震发生在IDT值增加的时期。

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