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Global Projection of Lead-Zinc Supply from Known Resources

机译:已知资源对铅锌供应的全球预测

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Lead and zinc are used extensively in the construction and automotive industries, and require sustainable supply. In order to understand the future availability of lead and zinc, we have projected global supplies on a country-by-country basis from a detailed global assessment of mineral resources for 2013. The model GeRS-DeMo was used to create projections of lead and zinc production from ores, as well as recycling for lead. Our modelling suggests that lead and zinc production from known resources is set to peak within 15 years (lead 2025, zinc 2031). For lead, the total supply declines relatively slowly post peak due to recycling. If additional resources are found, these peaks would shift further into the future. These results suggest that lead and zinc consumers will need to plan for the future, potentially by: seeking alternative supplies (e.g., mine tailings, smelter/refinery slags); obtaining additional value from critical metals contained in lead-zinc ore deposits to counter lower grade ores; identifying potential substitutes; redesigning their products; or by contributing to the development of recycling industries.
机译:铅和锌广泛用于建筑和汽车行业,需要可持续的供应。为了了解铅和锌的未来可用性,我们从2013年全球矿产资源的详细评估中逐个国家地预测了全球供应量。使用GeRS-DeMo模型创建铅和锌的预测矿石生产以及铅的回收。我们的模型表明,已知资源中铅和锌的产量将在15年内达到峰值(铅2025,锌2031)。对于铅,由于回收,总供应量在高峰后下降相对缓慢。如果找到更多资源,这些高峰将进一步转移到未来。这些结果表明铅和锌的消费者将需要对未来进行计划,可能的方式是:寻找替代供应(例如矿山尾矿,冶炼厂/精炼炉渣);从铅锌矿床中所含的关键金属中获得额外价值,以应对低品位矿石;确定潜在的替代品;重新设计他们的产品;或通过促进回收产业的发展。

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