首页> 外文期刊>Revista Brasileira de Estudos de Populao >What are the effects of population aging on pension systems of Brazil, Spain and France??Cuáles son los efectos del envejecimiento poblacional en los sistemas de pensiones de Brasil, Espa?a y Francia?
【24h】

What are the effects of population aging on pension systems of Brazil, Spain and France??Cuáles son los efectos del envejecimiento poblacional en los sistemas de pensiones de Brasil, Espa?a y Francia?

机译:人口老龄化对巴西,西班牙和法国的养老金制度有什么影响?人口老龄化对巴西,西班牙和法国的养老金制度有什么影响?

获取原文
           

摘要

The aim of this study is to analyze the impacts of population aging on pay-as-you-go pension schemes in three countries: Brazil, Spain and France. Benefits and contributions are calculated based on current rules and population projections by sex and age group, up until 2100. From 2016 to 2100, the number of old-age benefits in the three countries is expected to increase by 235%, 54% and 73%. By 2050, ceteris paribus, the Brazilian deficit will amount to USD 188 billion, reaching USD 260 billion in 2100. For France and Spain figures will be USD 134 billion and USD 92 billion. In 2100, the Spanish per capita deficit will be the highest: USD 7,200, against USD 5,400 (France) and USD 3300 (Brazil). Two additional exercises are included. The first is the calculation of the Necessary Contribution Rate. By 2016 Brazil’s rate should already be at 40%. For the other countries, the rates should be 23% (France) and 32% (Spain). In 2050, unless some action is taken, the Brazilian rate will surpass an absurd 100%, and by 2100, an unreal 160%. The second exercise was the calculation of the Average Balance Benefit. For Spain, there would be a reduction of USD 884 per month to USD 372 by 2050. For Brazil, the current balance benefit of USD 248 would be reduced, by 2050, to USD 98. Reduction in Brazil (60%) is almost the same as in Spain (58%). The results provide evidence of the need for pension reforms due to aging.
机译:这项研究的目的是分析巴西,西班牙和法国这三个国家的人口老龄化对即付即付养老金计划的影响。福利和贡献根据当前的规则和按性别和年龄组划分的人口预测进行计算,直到2100年。从2016年到2100年,这三个国家的养老金数量预计将分别增长235%,54%和73 %。到2050年,巴西的赤字将达到1880亿美元,到2100年将达到2600亿美元。法国和西班牙的赤字将分别为1340亿美元和920亿美元。 2100年,西班牙的人均赤字将最高:7,200美元,而法国为5,400美元,巴西为3300美元。包括两个附加练习。首先是必要贡献率的计算。到2016年,巴西的失业率应已达到40%。对于其他国家,费率应为23%(法国)和32%(西班牙)。在2050年,除非采取任何措施,否则巴西的税率将超过荒谬的100%,到2100年将超过160%。第二项工作是计算平均余额利益。对于西班牙,到2050年,每月将减少884美元,降至372美元。对于巴西,到2050年,当前的平衡收益248美元将减少至98美元。巴西的减少(60%)几乎是与西班牙相同(58%)。结果提供了因年龄增长而需要进行养老金改革的证据。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号