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首页> 外文期刊>Revista de Administrao Pública >Does public investment influence re-election? An empirical study of the municipalities of the state of Espírito Santo
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Does public investment influence re-election? An empirical study of the municipalities of the state of Espírito Santo

机译：公共投资会影响连任吗？对圣埃斯皮里图州各市的实证研究

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摘要

The economic literature has discussed the effects of public spending on the probability of re-election, pointing out that voters tend to evaluate the performance of politics based on the pre-election period (political myopia). In this context, this study investigates the influence of public investments on the re-election of municipal mayors in the state of Espírito Santo, Brazil, between 2001 and 2012. Using Logistic regression, we find that voters from the State of Espírito Santo, in general, reward the mayors who promote increments related to public investment in the period surrounding the elections, which is consistent with results in the political cycles and electoral behavior literature, although no empirical evidence was found that those voters are conservative in a fiscal perspective.
机译：经济文献讨论了公共支出对连任概率的影响，指出选民倾向于根据选举前时期（政治近视）来评估政治表现。在这种情况下，本研究调查了2001年至2012年之间公共投资对巴西埃斯皮里图州的市长连任的影响。通过Logistic回归，我们发现来自圣埃斯皮里图州的选民一般而言，对在选举期间促进与公共投资有关的增量的市长予以奖励，这与政治周期和选举行为文献的结果相符，尽管没有经验证据表明这些选民在财政角度上是保守的。

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