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首页> 外文期刊>Revue Roumaine de Geographie >EVALUATION OF THE SOCIOECONOMIC EFFECTS OF DROUGHT IN THE TURNU M?GURELE – GIURGIU SECTOR OF THE ROMANIAN DANUBE VALLEY
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EVALUATION OF THE SOCIOECONOMIC EFFECTS OF DROUGHT IN THE TURNU M?GURELE – GIURGIU SECTOR OF THE ROMANIAN DANUBE VALLEY

机译：罗马尼亚丹努贝河谷Turn M？Gurele-GIURGIU部门干旱的社会经济效应评价

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摘要

Drought is a climatic extreme event causing environmental damages that limit plant development and crop yields, with significant economic and societal impacts. Mitigation and adaptation measures to drought are the responsibility of both farmers and government entities requiring integrative management plans and strategies which account for the local particularities. The paper presents an assessment of socioeconomic effects of drought in the Turnu M?gurele – Giurgiu sector of the Romanian Danube Valley (RDV) based on a comprehensive analysis of specific climatic and socioeconomic indicators. Drought was quantified by the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at 1- to 24-month lags at three representative stations in the area, during the 1961–2017 period. The analysis shows that among the consequences of severe drought events that affected the study-area during the last decades were the yield losses and increasing prices in the crop market. The findings highlight, on the one hand, the losses to farmers as well as the role of compensation measures and, on the other hand, the anticipated increase of risk in agriculture. The response measures to drought mitigation in the sector and the RDV are discussed in a view of resource integrated policies and climate change adaptation strategies.
机译：干旱是气候极端事件，造成环境破坏，限制了植物的生长和农作物的产量，对经济和社会产生了重大影响。减轻干旱和适应干旱的措施是农民和政府机构的责任，需要综合管理计划和战略来考虑当地的特殊性。本文根据对特定气候和社会经济指标的综合分析，对罗马尼亚多瑙河谷（RDV）的Turnu M？gurele – Giurgiu地区的干旱对社会经济影响进行了评估。通过标准降水指数（SPI）和标准降水蒸发蒸腾指数（SPEI）在该地区三个代表性站点在1961-2017年期间对干旱进行了量化。分析表明，在过去的几十年中，严重干旱事件影响了研究区域，其中包括作物产量下降和价格上涨。这些发现一方面突出了农民的损失以及补偿措施的作用，另一方面突出了农业风险的预期增加。从资源整合政策和气候变化适应战略的角度讨论了该部门和RDV对减灾的应对措施。

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