Testing the forecast of aftershocks: a simple method with an example of application

Changsheng Jiang; Zhongliang Wu

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Testing the forecast of aftershocks: a simple method with an example of application

机译：测试余震的预测：一种简单的方法，并带有一个应用实例

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Tests of aftershock forecast have to consider the temporal distribution of aftershocks, which differ from mainshocks. This paper uses as an example the 2008 Wenchuan aftershock sequence and the load-unload response ratio forecast of aftershocks. We discuss a simplified test scheme using the Ogata-transformed time to make the transformed aftershock sequence homogenously random. While an example was taken using the Molchan error diagram, other testing schemes are also valid for the transformed aftershock sequence.

机译：余震预报测试必须考虑余震的时间分布，这与主震不同。本文以2008年汶川余震序列及余震的装卸响应比预测为例。我们讨论了一种使用Ogata转换时间的简化测试方案，以使转换后的余震序列同质随机。虽然使用Molchan误差图作为示例，但其他测试方案对于转换后的余震序列也有效。

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《Research in Geophysics》 |2012年第1期|共1页
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Changsheng Jiang; Zhongliang Wu;
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中图分类地球物理学;
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机译：测试余震的预测：一个简单的方法和一个应用的例子

Testing the forecast of aftershocks: a simple method with an example of application

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