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Jumping to Conclusions Is Associated with Paranoia but Not General Suspiciousness: A Comparison of Two Versions of the Probabilistic Reasoning Paradigm

机译:得出结论与偏执狂相关,但与一般可疑性无关:概率推理范例的两个版本的比较

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Theoretical models ascribe jumping to conclusions (JTCs) a prominent role in the pathogenesis of paranoia. While many earlier studies corroborated this account, some newer investigations have found no or only small associations of the JTC bias with paranoid symptoms. The present study examined whether these inconsistencies in part reflect methodological differences across studies. The study was built upon the psychometric high-risk paradigm. A total of 1899 subjects from the general population took part in an online survey and were administered the Paranoia Checklist as well as one of two different variants of the probabilistic reasoning task: one variant with a traditional instruction (a) and one novel variant that combines probability estimates with decision judgments (b). Factor analysis of the Paranoia Checklist yielded an unspecific suspiciousness factor and a psychotic paranoia factor. The latter was significantly associated with scores indicating hasty decision making. Subjects scoring two standard deviations above the mean of the Paranoia Checklist showed an abnormal data-gathering style relative to subjects with normal scores. Findings suggest that the so-called decision threshold parameter is more sensitive than the conventional JTC index. For future research the specific contents of paranoid beliefs deserve more consideration in the investigation of decision making in schizophrenia as JTC seems to be associated with core psychosis-prone features of paranoia only.
机译:理论模型归因于妄想结论(JTC)在妄想症的发病机理中具有重要作用。尽管许多较早的研究证实了这一说法,但一些较新的研究发现JTC偏执与偏执症状之间没有关联或只有很小的关联。本研究检查了这些不一致之处是否部分反映了整个研究方法的差异。该研究建立在心理高风险范例之上。共有1899名来自普通人群的受试者参加了一项在线调查,并获得了偏执狂检查表以及概率推理任务的两种不同变体之一:一种具有传统说明的变体(a)和一种结合了传统说明的新型变体带有决策判断的概率估计(b)。偏执狂检查表的因素分析产生了一个不确定的可疑因素和一个精神病性偏执狂因素。后者与表明仓促决策的得分显着相关。得分高于偏执清单的平均值两个标准差的受试者相对于得分正常的受试者表现出异常的数据收集方式。研究结果表明,所谓的决策阈值参数比常规JTC索引更敏感。对于未来的研究,偏执狂信念的具体内容在精神分裂症的决策研究中应得到更多考虑,因为JTC似乎仅与易患偏执狂的精神病患者的核心特征有关。

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