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首页> 外文期刊>Scientific Research and Essays >Path analysis to evaluate the direct and indirect effects of climatic variables in the development stages of Tuta absoluta (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae) in tomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.)
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Path analysis to evaluate the direct and indirect effects of climatic variables in the development stages of Tuta absoluta (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae) in tomato (Solanum lycopersicum L.)

机译:路径分析以评估番茄(Solanum lycopersicum L.)中金枪鱼(Lepidoptera:Gelechiidae)发育阶段的气候变量的直接和间接影响

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The objective of this study was to evaluate the influence of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the tomato moth Tuta absoluta (Meyrick, 1917), (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae) through correlations and path analysis, on the main variable in organic and conventional tomato crops (Solanum lycopersicum L., Solanaceae). We studied the effects of the pheromone (used Delta traps) on insect phase sampling in two areas of agricultural with tomato cultivation in Alagoas, Northeast Brazil: latitude 09º81´76´´, longitude 36º59´42´´, during the agricultural years 2015-2017. The experimental design was completely randomized with two treatments with 60 replicates. In the path analysis, the main variables were adults, eggs, caterpillars and mines. Rainfall, relative humidity, temperature, wind speed, and solar radiation were explanatory and correlated variables. In the path analysis we observed that rainfall, relative humidity, and solar radiation were the variables of greatest influence on the population dynamics with direct effects in the organic system with correlation coefficients r = 0.83, r = 0.52 and r = 0.45 respectively. The following variables showed negative correlations: wind r = -0.43, and temperature r = -0.19. In the conventional system r = 0.80, r = 0.43 and r = 0.41, for the same variables. The wind speed variable had a negative effect of r = -0.38, and the temperature had a negative effect of r = -0.13. We observed that climatic conditions are variables conditioning the development of insect infestation in the tomato crops studied.
机译:这项研究的目的是通过相关性和通径分析,评估气候变量对番茄蛾Tuta absoluta(Meyrick,1917)(鳞翅目:Gelechiidae)种群动态对有机和常规番茄作物中主要变量的影响。 (茄属茄属(Solanum lycopersicum L.),茄科(Solanaceae)。我们研究了信息素(用过的Delta捕集阱)对巴西东北部Alagoas的两个种植番茄的农业区域的昆虫阶段采样的影响:纬度09º 81´ 76´&amp ;;经度36º 59´ 42´在2015-2017农业年度。实验设计完全随机化,两次治疗共重复60次。在路径分析中,主要变量是成虫,卵,毛虫和地雷。降雨,相对湿度,温度,风速和太阳辐射是解释性和相关变量。在路径分析中,我们观察到降雨,相对湿度和太阳辐射是对种群动态影响最大的变量,在有机系统中具有直接影响,其相关系数分别为r = 0.83,r = 0.52和r = 0.45。以下变量显示负相关:风r = -0.43,温度r = -0.19。在常规系统中,对于相同的变量,r = 0.80,r = 0.43和r = 0.41。风速变量具有r = -0.38的负面影响,而温度具有r = -0.13的负面影响。我们观察到气候条件是变量,其调节了所研究的番茄作物中昆虫侵染的发展。

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