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Variability in Intense Tropical Cyclone Days in the Western North Pacific

机译:北太平洋西部强烈热带气旋日的变化

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References(17) Cited-By(43) Supplementary materials(2) Variability in tropical cyclone (TC) days in the western North Pacific (WNP) since the late 1970s is investigated based on two datasets. As an overall behavior, the intense TC days have increased for the last 30 years from both the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) dataset and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) dataset. Both datasets show that TC days with an intensity of Saffir-Simpson category 2 or higher have increased by 15-30% over the past 30 years. In terms of the detailed behavior of this increase in intense TC days, the contribution obtained from the JMA dataset is different from that of the JTWC. The JMA dataset reveals that the increase in moderately intense TC days contributes to the overall increase in intense TC days, while the JTWC dataset shows that the increase in extremely intense TC days has the dominant contribution. The difference between the two datasets becomes significant after 1987 when aircraft reconnaissance by the US Air Force was deactivated. The difference between the assessed contributions is due to different implementations of the Dvorak technique, the basis for TC intensity estimation at the JMA and the JTWC after the deactivation of aircraft reconnaissance.
机译:参考文献(17)被引用的文献(43)补充材料(2)基于两个数据集,对1970年代后期以来北太平洋西部(WNP)热带气旋(TC)日的变化进行了研究。总体而言,过去30年中,日本气象厅(JMA)数据集和联合台风预警中心(JTWC)数据集的强烈TC天都有所增加。这两个数据集均显示,过去30年中,强度为Saffir-Simpson 2类或更高的TC天增加了15-30%。就强烈TC天增加的详细行为而言,从JMA数据集获得的贡献不同于JTWC。 JMA数据集显示,中等强度的TC天的增加有助于总体上强烈TC天的增加,而JTWC数据集显示,极端强度的TC天的增加是主要的贡献。 1987年美国空军取消飞机侦察后,这两个数据集之间的差异变得非常明显。摊款之间的差异是由于Dvorak技术的实施不同,Dvorak技术是飞机侦察系统停用后JMA和JTWC TC强度估算的基础。

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