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Relativistic electrons of the outer radiation belt and methods of their forecast (review)

机译：外辐射带的相对论电子及其预测方法（综述）

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The paper reviews studies of the dynamics of relativistic electrons in the geosynchronous region. It lists the physical processes that lead to the acceleration of electrons filling the outer radiation belt. As one of the space weather factors, high-energy electron fluxes pose a serious threat to the operation of satellite equipment in one of the most populated orbital regions. Necessity is emphasized for efforts to develop methods of forecasting the situation in this part of the magnetosphere, possible predictors are listed, and their classification is given. An example of a predictive model for forecasting relativistic electron flux with a lead time of 1–2 days is proposed. Some questions of practical organization of prediction are discussed; the main objec-tives of short-term, medium-term, and long-term forecasts are listed.
机译：本文回顾了地球同步区域相对论电子动力学的研究。它列出了导致填充外部辐射带的电子加速的物理过程。作为空间天气因素之一，高能量电子通量对人口稠密的轨道区域之一中的卫星设备的运行构成了严重威胁。强调必须努力发展预测磁层这一部分情况的方法，列出可能的预测因素，并给出其分类。提出了一个用于预测相对论电子通量且提前期为1-2天的预测模型的示例。讨论了预测的实际组织问题。列出了短期，中期和长期预测的主要目标。

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