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Climatic Change Projection for the Ocean around Japan using a High-Resolution Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Regional Climate Model

机译:高分辨率耦合的大气-海洋区域气候模型对日本周围海洋的气候变化预测

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References(19) Cited-By(3) Supplementary materials(1) We developed a high-resolution, Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Regional Climate Model to project climate change over Japan with more sophisticated atmosphere-ocean interaction. The model represented sea surface temperature (SST) distribution well. An SST bias over the Japan Sea was improved by 10 to 20% compared to a non-coupled ocean model driven by atmospheric forcing in a GCM. These results indicate that realistic, high-resolution atmospheric conditions positively impact on the reproduction and projection of oceanic conditions.SST in the future projection simulation was 1 to 6°C warmer than in the present climate run. A particularly remarkable warming signal was projected to the sea east of Hokkaido in both summer and winter. The model also simulated cooling SST off Sanriku (143E/39N) in winter, which has never obtained by non-coupled ocean model. These projected SST results are likely to be related to future changes in surface wind.
机译:参考文献(19)被引用的文献(3)补充材料(1)我们开发了高分辨率的大气-海洋耦合区域气候模型,以更复杂的大气-海洋相互作用预测日本的气候变化。该模型很好地表示了海表温度(SST)的分布。与GCM中大气强迫驱动的非耦合海洋模型相比,日本海的SST偏差提高了10%到20%。这些结果表明,现实的高分辨率大气条件对海洋条件的再现和投影产生了积极影响。未来的投影模拟中的海表温度比目前的气候运行高1至6°C。夏季和冬季,北海道以东的海面上都出现了特别明显的变暖信号。该模型还模拟了冬季三陆(1​​43E / 39N)的SST冷却,这是非耦合海洋模型从未获得的。这些预计的SST结果可能与未来地面风的变化有关。

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