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Accuracy of Global Upper Ocean Heat Content Estimation Expected from Present Observational Data Sets

机译:根据目前的观测数据集预计的全球上层海洋热量含量估算的准确性

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The simplest global mapping method and dense data coverage for the global oceans by the latest observation network ensure an estimate of global ocean heat content (OHC) within a satisfactory uncertainty for the last 60 years. The observational database conditionally presented a level high enough for practical use for the global OHC estimation when applying bias corrections of expendable bathythermograph, assuming that the other severe observational biases are not included in the database. Uncertainties in annual global mean temperatures averaged vertically from the surface to 1,500 m are within 0.01 K for the period from 1955 onward, when only sampling errors are taken into account. Those in annual mean global OHC of an improved objective analysis for 0-1,500 m depth is 16ZJ on average throughout the period. Compared to previous studies, the new objective analysis provides a higher estimation of the global 0-1,500 m OHC trend for a longer period from 1955 to 2015, which is an increase of 350 ± 57ZJ with a 95% confidence interval.
机译:最简单的全球测绘方法和最新观测网络对全球海洋的密集数据覆盖确保了在过去60年中,在令人满意的不确定性范围内估算了全球海洋热量(OHC)。假设其他严重的观测偏差未包括在数据库中,则观测性数据库有条件地提出足够高的水平,以供在应用消耗性水温仪的偏差校正时进行全球OHC估算。从1955年开始,从地表垂直垂直平均到1,500 m的年平均全球平均温度的不确定性在0.01 K以内,这时只考虑了采样误差。在整个时期内,对0-1.5 m深度进行客观分析的年度全球总体OHC平均值为16ZJ。与以前的研究相比,新的客观分析提供了从1955年到2015年更长时期内全球0-1,500 m OHC趋势的更高估计值,即350±57ZJ,置信区间为95%。

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